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ISW: A ceasefire on the front would benefit the Russian Federation

Photo: Russian ZMI

Analysts believe that Putin will not stop pursuing his goal of controlling Ukraine and weakening NATO.

Russia continues to consider the main justifications for invading Ukraine to be demands for Ukrainian “neutrality” and a moratorium on NATO expansion. Therefore, any ceasefire on the front line in Ukraine will benefit Russia. This was stated by analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

A hypothetical concession by the Russian Federation to its demands would mean a serious strategic and rhetorical setback. Therefore, the head of the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin, will not agree to this now.

Demands for “neutral status” are the goal of Putin’s decade-long effort to demand changes to NATO that would weaken the alliance to the point that it would be unable to deter or defeat future Russian aggression in Eastern Europe .

Putin is unlikely to make concessions because he will not stop pursuing his goal of controlling Ukraine and weakening NATO unless he is certain to lose, analysts say.

ISW notes that Russian public figures may feign interest in making concessions on Ukrainian territory to Western institutions in an attempt to persuade the West to make preemptive concessions on Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

The Russian Federation states that their goal is the annexation of occupied Ukrainian territories or additional territorial gains to Ukraine.

ISW notes that there is no reason to believe that Putin will not abandon his plans for Ukraine.

Let’s remember that the MTR group of the Armed Forces was destroyed Irony – a modern Russian surveillance complex. The complex included a thermal imager, a range finder, and had a video recording function – all this allowed the enemy to conduct round-the-clock surveillance.

Cyber ​​specialists of the SBU destroyed the enemy’s surveillance systems
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Source: korrespondent

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