The Russian State Duma adopted decisions indicating all kinds of severe punishments for various evasions from mobilization, failure to appear, surrender and refusal to fight.
Russia is losing the front in Ukraine and is ready to take desperate measures to stop the development of the conflict, which is negative for itself. To declare all occupied territories as Russia as soon as possible, and to prohibit unmotivated soldiers from surrendering under threat of criminal charges, recruiting more unmotivated soldiers along the way – such a simple plan is now being implemented in the Kremlin. At the same time, the Russians were very much afraid of general mobilization. And what the Russian authorities may consider a solution to the problem, on the contrary, may be the beginning of the end.
On September 20, the State Duma unanimously passed amendments to the Criminal Code in the second and third readings, introducing the concepts of “mobilization”, “martial law” and “time of war”. Also, the Criminal Code was supplemented with articles on “voluntary surrender” (up to 10 years in prison) and “robbery” (up to 15 years), and the punishment for unauthorized abandonment of a unit was tightened .
paper bases
“This is a paper basis for mobilization: new territories join, they are attacked, we are now not aggressors, but victims of aggression, which justifies martial law and mobilization, for example, partial (organizationally, large volumes of people cannot be digested if they are). The enemy is within the borders of the motherland, these borders must be defended. We have been fighting for half a year, we haven’t started anything, but now we will start, and now everything will definitely end in three days, unlike last time, “explained the Russian political scientist Yekaterina Shulman on the logic of the Kremlin.
This whole story does not take into account the fact that any mobilization and integration of the mobilized takes time, because the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not wait until these processes are debugged in Russia.
“But the citizens within the Russian Federation have to take care of their legal status and location. To scare oneself is not to fight, it is a common thing and it has been well,” said Shulman.
Putin does not know how to finish
Another Russian political scientist Alexander Bauman notes that the decisions of the State Duma and talks about “immediate” referendums on joining Russia, up to all Ukrainian territories temporarily occupied by Russian Federation, should mean: you decided to fight us in Ukraine, try to fight us in Russia itself, or rather in what we call it. I hope they don’t.
“The crossing of the Russian border by foreign troops, wherever it goes, certainly gives Putin a formal right and, as it were, a moral justification to cross” special operation: to a war and go in mobilization measures, to hit the Ukrainians. things that have not been decided, and even some are not so abstract as the threat of nuclear weapons,” Bauman said.
At the same time, in his opinion, at a recent meeting in Samarkand, Putin received a signal from non-Western countries to end the war as soon as possible and stop speaking on behalf of everything that is not the West, polluting it with their weakness and incapacity.
“That’s all to finish as soon as possible, adjust the income and losses. And if it doesn’t end, shift the blame here to others and turn your own aggression into a defensive war in the hope that it will be more legitimate among the citizens and the hands will be loosened for any decisions,” the expert believes.
Threatening them
“The stakes will rise. Moreover, the first result should be the intimidation of the Russian people, the second – the intimidation of the West, and only then, if possible, the escalation of the war. The increase in rates is a clear response of the “war party” to the defeats at the front and the rise of discontent in the country, of all things that have become noticeable in the last two weeks, “said the political scientist of Russian Ivan Kurilla.
Can’t help
“Referendums” and mobilization in the Russian Federation will not have any consequences, except for accelerating the collapse and revolution in Putin’s Russia, believes Oleksii Arestovich, adviser to the Office of the President of Ukraine.
In his opinion, after the announcement of the mobilization in Russia, there will be a destruction of the indescribable social contract in which the Putin regime rests at the moment – “only war on TV”.
Arestovich also emphasizes that in Russia there is a lack of infrastructure for mobilization – first of all, there is not the necessary number of junior commanders to make a kind of mobilized army.
“The fighting ability of those mobilized is very low, due to the lack of motivation. The presence in the midst of the mobilized a large number of hidden enemies of the war.
Now it’s not just people who hate Putin, but armed people who hate Putin. I thought for a long time – will they decide on this idiocy in the form of mobilization / referendum? And they can justify our best expectations.
This is a great gift to all of us, a reduction in the duration of the imperialist war by at least six months or a year and a sharp increase in the possibility of a civil war in Russia itself,” predicted Arestovich.
Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.