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Stabilization and counterattack. Plans of the Ukrainian Armed Forces for 2024

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Daily heavy fighting continues in the direction of Avdeevsky and Limansky, as well as in the direction of Chasovoy Yar.

Commander of the Ground Forces Alexander Pavlyuk said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces

They plan to stabilize the situation at the front in the near future and are preparing counterattack actions this year. ISW experts noted that Ukraine’s attempts to challenge and seize the 2024 initiative are “operationally justified.”

Nsimple situation

Pavlyuk said that the occupiers are now doing everything to seize as much territory as possible before the so-called “presidential elections” in Russia. According to him, even those who came to the front unprepared a few weeks ago were thrown into the attacks.

“Our task is to stabilize the front line, destroy the enemy as much as possible, regroup as much as possible to recover the units that need restoration, create a strike force and conduct counterstrike operations this year,” he said. .

The Commander of the Ground Forces emphasized that Ukraine is managing to do this and the situation at the front is stabilizing.

He emphasized that daily heavy fighting continues in the direction of Avdeevsky and Limansky, as well as in the direction of Chasovoy Yar.

According to British intelligence, the goal of the Russian invaders was to capture Chasovoy Yar, but they were unlikely to launch an offensive, despite tactical successes.

As the department noted, the Russian invaders are now continuing the attack to expand control over the city of Bakhmut, which they captured in May last year.

According to the agency, the occupying Russian army has advanced and occupied the eastern part of the village of Ivanovskoye, and is also attacking Ukrainian positions in Bogdanovka. Chasov Yar is now located approximately 5 km from the front line.

Everything depends on the help of the West

ISW experts noted that Ukraine’s attempts to challenge and seize the 2024 initiative are “operationally justified.” After all, as long as the Russian Federation maintains the initiative on the battlefield, the aggressors can determine the place, time, scale and their own needs for military operations in Ukraine. In turn, this allows the Russians to force Ukraine to expend resources and manpower on defensive operations, depriving the Ukrainian Armed Forces of the ability to muster the resources needed for future counteroffensive operations. . ISW continues to assess that it would be unreasonable for Ukraine to cede the advantage of the battlefield initiative to Russia “for longer than necessary.”

However, long delays in Western security assistance are likely to delay Ukraine’s efforts to regain the initiative across the theater. A lack of resources and weapons is forcing Ukrainian forces to conserve them, and uncertainty about future aid will likely limit Ukrainian operational planning. Delays in critical assistance will likely force Ukraine to make difficult decisions about how to allocate resources between vital counteroffensive operations in the future and continued Ukrainian defense efforts against Russian invaders now hold the initiative, ISW warns. Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky also recently said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces plan to conduct a counter-offensive operation in 2024, but stressed that Ukraine’s main task remains the defense of Ukraine’s territory. Zelensky also warned that Russia is preparing a new offensive operation to begin in late May or summer 2024—which is likely to further delay the opportunity for Ukraine to prepare and launch its own counteroffensive. However, ISW reminds, Ukrainian forces have proven that, given adequate support, they are capable of holding back even minor Russian gains during large-scale Russian offensive efforts and can significantly deplete attack on Russian forces.

In summary, Western security assistance is critical both to Ukraine’s ability to marshal resources and manpower for future counteroffensive operations and to its ability to adequately absorb the occupier’s offensive efforts. for Ukraine to take the initiative on the battlefield, says ISW.

Source: korrespondent

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