Vladimir Putin, whose troops are struggling to make a decisive breakthrough in Donbas (East), is set to recruit 400,000 new soldiers, British intelligence warned in a report on Thursday, March 30. short per day. Last September, 300,000 Russians were forced to enlist under Russian flags to compensate for losses in Ukraine. An estimated 700,000 Russians reportedly fled to escape Forbes:.
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To avoid the same scenario, the Kremlin could present this recruitment drive as volunteer-based. “The campaign is unlikely to attract 400,000 genuine volunteers“, however, emphasizes the British intelligence. Counting the killed and wounded, US intelligence estimates Russian losses at 188,000 soldiers according to the latest estimate at the end of January.
“The first wave was unexpected and held in chaotic conditions. There was a need for a quick, massive recruitment with outdated lists of reservists and problems to be implemented at the regional level. Irregular gatherings of men were the resultAnna Kolin Lebedev, a specialist in post-Soviet societies, recalled at the beginning of March. For this, the lists of men who can be mobilized have been digitized, and a unified database should be created on April 1, 2024.
Anna Kolin Lebedev also emphasized that the Kremlin will not need a new decree or a new statement to resume its mobilization. He can ask the local authorities to call up men of military age.inspections”, then mobilizing them. “The central government has given responsibility for everything related to mobilization to the regionshe added Figaro .
Such a mobilization would be militarily useful to Russia if the quality of training is high and if it has enough modern equipment to send them to the front. Ukraine announced a “spring counter-offensive” and reinforced its troops around the Donbas city of Bakhmut, which has been under Russian attack since last May. The arrival of Western tanks, if massive, can be decisive. The first Leopard 2 tanks have already been delivered. In several pro-Russian networks, the increase in Ukrainian activism around Zaporozhye is being closely watched.
Source: Le Figaro
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