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Russia uses a truce for a new attack on Ukraine – ISW

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The current front line does not provide the strategic depths needed to protect Ukraine, analysts emphasize.

A potential front freezing agreement in current positions may not prevent Russia from new aggression. In particular, the Kremlin could use a Truce to regroup and implement greater -scale territorial ambitions in case of restriction on Western military assistance in Ukraine. It is stated by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) in its daily report.

Any potential agreement that obtains the current front line until the moment Russia has received the full control over Lugansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson regions will not exclude Russia’s further invasion to expand the work, emphasizing the analysts. Especially in the case when the agreement provides for a moratorium on the supply of western weapons in Ukraine.

“The current front line does not provide strategic depths required for Ukraine for reliable protection against Russia’s new aggression, as Russian troops are located on the other side of DNIEPER from Kherson, about 25 kilometers from Zaporozhye and 20 kilometers from Kharkov,” ISW said.

The Russian Federation also strengthened the use of armored vehicles throughout the front line, which could indicate the beginning of a long -term campaign to get the So -called “Fortress Belt” in the Donetsk region and as much territory as possible in East and Southern Ukraine.

The Kremlin may temporarily abandon the strict requirements for relatively complete control over the occupied regions in exchange for other U.S. concessions, the ISW notes. Such a concession may be “a change in the Ukrainian government in pro -russian or significant reduction in the number of armed forces of Ukraine,” increasing analysts.

As you know, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has called for bilateral negotiations with Ukraine to the same end of blows at civilian facilities.

We added that Ukrainian president Vladimir Zelensky said Ukraine was ready for a dialogue to start a slight truce in Russia, which provides a ban on long attacks on civilian facilities.

Three days for a deal? Peace negotiations continue

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Source: korrespondent

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