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ISW: Russia is preparing a “winter campaign” against Ukraine

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Analysts note that the Russian Federation is simultaneously facing limitations in quality components due to Western sanctions.

Russia continues to increase production of suicide bombs ahead of the 2024-2025 winter campaign against Ukraine, despite sanctions and technical restrictions. This was confirmed by a report from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

The Russian plant in the Alabuga special economic zone in the Republic of Tatarstan produced 5,760 shahed between January and September 2024. This is double what was released in 2023. According to leaked documents, the company entered a agreement to produce 6,000 drones by September 2025.

Russia is also actively developing low-tech decoy drones, similar to suicide bombers, which are used to penetrate Ukrainian air defense systems. They plan to make up to 10 thousand by the end of 2024, which is almost double the number of attack drones.

The Russians built two new workshops at the Alabuga plant and installed protective nets against drones over the buildings. To improve logistics, the Russians created a train station with a direct connection between Russia and China, where the necessary components for the production of drones are provided.

At the same time, analysts added that Russia faces restrictions on supplying factories with high-quality components due to Western sanctions. In particular, Russians are forced to use low-quality Chinese-made machines. While the Ukrainian forces, thanks to innovations in electronic warfare, are effectively countering the attacks of the “shaheds.”

Earlier, British intelligence attributed the reduction in the number of Russian drone strikes in December to cloudy weather. If the production and launch sites are not attacked, Russia will be able to launch up to 1,500 kamikaze drones per month across Ukraine.

Serial numbers of “martyrs” reached 12 thousand – media


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Source: korrespondent

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