Analysts believe that Russian reserves are unlikely to function as a coherent force capable of invasion.
The Russian military command is building up reserves capable of supporting ongoing offensive operations in Ukraine. However, these reserves are unlikely to function as coherent large formations capable of invasion. This was stated in a report from the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) on March 21.
Building up additional reserves would allow the occupiers to make up for losses in Ukraine without causing significant operational disruptions, ISW believes.
Analysts suggest that Russia’s losses in manpower will be greater than losses in armored vehicles in the current phase of the war, especially as the invaders switch to ground attack with heavy infantry in the fall of 2023 to maintain armored vehicles at the cost of a large loss of manpower.
The British International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) think tank previously reported that the Russian Federation is likely to maintain its current rate of equipment losses (more than 3,000 armored fighting vehicles annually and nearly 8,000 as of February 2022) without down to two to three years, mainly thanks to the reactivation of old equipment.
Russia’s offensive tactics are likely to put increasing pressure on Ukraine’s defenses as Western aid is delayed.
“The lack of Ukrainian air defense missiles will continue to limit Ukraine’s ability to control airspace and threaten Russian tactical aircraft, which conduct regular attacks with glide bombs,” the report said. .
At the same time, well-equipped Ukrainian forces have repeatedly demonstrated that they can prevent Russian offensive tactics from yielding tactical benefits, ISW analysts say.
Earlier, ISW reported that Russian troops are likely to resume offensive operations aimed at destabilizing Ukrainian defense lines in the spring of 2024, preparing for a new offensive operation expected for summer day.
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Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.