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Boris Johnson survived the No Confidence Vote. What’s next? –

The authority of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson seems to have been badly damaged after 41% of Conservative MPs voted against its extension. Leadership Monday night.

Even if that means the prime minister got enough votes to stay in 10th place, because 211 Toriel insisted they still have faith in him. 148 who does not, blow it The reputation may not be recovered at this point.

So what about Johnson? Repeatedly fighting the possibilities in the past, experts believe he is now more likely to step down.

Despite a particularly close success, it has accepted “decisive” results And he said it allows the government to “transition” – even if it is also unthinkable.

Here is a detailed description of what can lead to a mess of the Torah.

Another vote

Current party rules do not allow more than one attempt to remove a leader within 12 months.

When Conservative MPs thwarted an attempt to oust Theresa May in December 2018, they ultimately had to wait for her to leave in June 2019.

However, the rules could have changed in one stroke of a pen by the 1922 committee – and there have been two recent, albeit unsuccessful, attempts to get Tori MPs even earlier.

Deputies in April 2019 Required Party reduces one year leadership to six months and so on. Trial In January, as Johnson’s confidence waned, it failed. According to the plans, the threshold for handling the second ballot will be doubled.

Speaking to reporters on Monday 1922, the head of the committee Sir Graham Brady acknowledged that “technically” it was possible to change a year’s grace period.

The government reshuffle

Johnson may try to strengthen himself by rewarding his loyal allies with new jobs and punishing those who allegedly voted against him.

The tenth source suggested it might be an option when talking about the POLITICAL toy book, but admitted that, “We don’t have such a conversation yet.”

Subsequent reports further suggest that lawmakers on the fence have promised government duties to sign the agreement and that the regime could be followed in a few days by less enthusiastic ministers.

Alternatively, ministers who no longer support Johnson could choose to step down, especially as a group of Tory leaders, such as Former Conservative Leader William Hague – The desire to leave the prime minister is growing.

Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davy has called on Tory lawmakers who “care about integrity and decency” to step down and sit independently, even though nothing in the Tories has said so.

By election

The next date on the calendar is June 23, when two special elections (by-election in the UK) will be held on the same day. Wakefield in Yorkshire and Tiverton and Honiton in Devon. Both are currently in the hands of the Conservatives, but the party is in danger of losing Tiverton to Lib Demes and Wakefield Labor.

Intention to vote by-election in Wakefield:

LAB: 56% (+16)
CON: 33% (-14)
IND: 3% (new)
RFM: 3% (-3)
LDM: 2% (-2)
GRN: 2% (new)
YSP: 1% (-1)
BF: 1% (new)

with the help of @SaveMay 24 – June 1.
Changes in GE2019.

– UK election maps (@ElectionMapsUK) June 6, 2022

Defeating Wakefield would not be perfect given its location on the Red Wall – a place that has traditionally voted for Labor but has only just begun the Conservative vote – but that is to be expected. However, the loss of Tiverton, who has a Conservative majority with 24,239 Liberal MPs, could scare a critical mass of Conservative MPs into acting against the Prime Minister.

The double whammy of June 23 – and the feeling of voters that the next general will be disastrous for the Tories – could be the reason for the move of cabinet ministers. This is what happened to Margaret Thatcher when “Big Monster” Michael Heseltin launched another leadership challenge in November 1990.

We must remember that Catastrophic May local elections It was not enough to oust Johnson from office, even though the Conservatives lost a total of about 500 seats on the board.

Parliamentary inquiry

Don’t forget that the partygate isn’t over yet.

Members of the Communal Privileges Committee are still investigating whether or not Johnson deceived Parliament during the explanation of the parties violating the rules during the lock.

Although the appeal for contempt was left behind Sue Gray Report E denies fraud in municipalities, if the commission finds that she is disrespectful to Parliament, it can recommend her to apologize, suspend her or even expel him. Any sanctions must be approved by all parliamentarians by ballot.

Renewed Government Policy Statement – released just two days after Gray’s report – said it was “disproportionate” to expect ministers to step down or be fired due to “minor” violations of the Code.

Early general election

Early voting is unlikely, but it is still an option if Johnson believes he can get a new mandate from the country. This could be his final death if conservative pressure intensifies and senior ministers begin to demand his departure.

The next general election is not expected to be held until January 2025.

Johnson insisted after the vote that “he was certainly not interested in early elections” and instead pushed the government to “move”.

But strangely the prime minister also said he now “has a bigger mandate from my parliamentary colleagues than I did in 2019”.

In the early general election, which he called two and a half years ago, to elect his new position in 10th place, 365 Tories were elected.

That’s a massive majority – and it’s far from the 211 MPs (59% of the total parliamentary party) who voted to stay on Downing Street on Monday.

Source: Huffpost

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