The COVID-19 vaccine saved nearly 20 million lives in their first year, but more deaths could have been avoided if international shooting targets had been addressed, researchers said Thursday.
On December 8, 2020, a retired store clerk in England received his first dose, which will be part of a global vaccination campaign. Over the next 12 months, more than 4.3 billion people worldwide stopped receiving vaccines.
Efforts, however, have halted Constant inequality preventing mortality on an incredible scale, said Oliver Watson of Imperial College London, who spearheaded a new learning model.
“The first word that comes to mind is catastrophe,” Watson said of the outcome if vaccines were not available to fight the coronavirus. The results “examine how severe a pandemic would be if we didn’t have these vaccines.”
The researchers used data from 185 countries to estimate that the vaccine prevented 4.2 million deaths from COVID-19 in India, 1.9 million in the United States, 1 million in Brazil, 631,000 in France and 507,000 in the UK. .
Another 600,000 deaths would have been avoided if the World Health Organization’s goal of covering 40% of vaccinations by the end of 2021 had been met. The study was published Thursday in the journal Lancet Infectious Diseases.
The main finding – 19.8 million deaths from COVID -19 were avoided – were based on estimates of how many times more deaths than usual were reported over time. Using COVID-19 deaths alone, the same model resulted in 14.4 million vaccine-prevented deaths.
Scientists in London excluded China because of uncertainty about the pandemic’s impact on mortality and its large population.
The study also has other limitations. The researchers did not consider how other virus mutations might have occurred in the absence of vaccines. And they didn’t think about how you could change the lock or wear a face mask without the vaccine.
Another model group used a different approach to estimate that 16.3 million deaths from COVID-19 were prevented by vaccines. This document from the Seattle Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has not been published.
In the real world, people are more likely to wear masks as cases increase, says Ali Mokdad of the Institute, and the vaccine -free 2021 Delta Wave will lead to a major political response.
“As scientists we may disagree on the number, but we all agree that COVID vaccines have saved many lives,” Mokdad said.
The findings highlight the findings and shortcomings of the vaccination campaign, said Adam Finn of Bristol Medical School in England, who, like Moqadda, was not involved in the study.
“Even if we did a great job at this time – we saved millions and millions of lives – we can do better and we should do better in the future,” Finn said.
Funding came from various groups, including WHO; UK Medical Research Council; Gavi, Alliance on Vaccines; And the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Havov Todd, a reporter for AP Health and Science, contributed.
The Associated Press Department of Health and Science receives support from the Science Education Department of the Howard Hughes Medical Institute. AP is solely responsible for all content.
Source: Huffpost
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