The main source of replenishment of funds – exporting oil – is reduced due to western penalties. Forecast prices for Brent ($ 64 in 2025, $ 60 in 2026) have created critical fiscal risks for the Russian Federation.
Russia could lose a financial pillow in 2026 due to rapid reduction in oil revenues. This is proven by analyzing the foreign economic condition of the Russian Federation, published by Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service.
The National Welfare Fund, used by the Kremlin as a major reserve, is quickly reduced. Thus, at the beginning of July 2022, the volume of liquid parts of FNB would cost $ 145 billion. One year later, in July 2023, this indicator dropped to $ 78 billion. Until May 1, 2025, reserves only cost $ 39 billion. Since the beginning of an entire war, the collapse occurred almost four times.
The main source of replenishment of funds – exporting oil – is reduced due to western penalties. Forecast prices for Brent ($ 64 in 2025, $ 60 in 2026) have created critical fiscal risks for the Russian Federation.
Problems are observed today. State corporate projects Rosatom, planned for 2025, remains underfund of 80 %, the collapse of railroads’ volumes has been recorded, in the mining, metallurgical and construction sector – the collapse of the production, Russian corporations are widely suspected of paying dividends. All of this indicates huge -scale budget restrictions and loss of financial management even in strategic industries.
“Provided to maintain current restrictions and additional measures – in particular, strengthening the bypass bypass of oil penalties – the risks of the Russian Federation that losing the last residue of the financial pillow in 2026,” the knowledge of intelligence.
Remember that the bill on sanctions against the Russian Federation already has 82 votes in the US Senate, and, if adopted, will be Russia on a trade island.
Accordingly, the European Union considers the possibility of disconnecting more than 20 Russian banks from the Swift International Payment System, reducing the price ceiling to Russia’s oil and the introduction of the northern stream for gas pipelines as part of a new penalty package.
Putin’s allies have found a way to “pay” from the penalties to the US
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Source: korrespondent
I’m Liza Grey, an experienced news writer and author at the Buna Times. I specialize in writing about economic issues, with a focus on uncovering stories that have a positive impact on society. With over seven years of experience in the news industry, I am highly knowledgeable about current events and the ways in which they affect our daily lives.