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The fate of Ukraine is decided. Media about Russian nuclear threats

This war will decide not only the fate of Ukraine or the geostrategic alignment with Europe, but also the rules for conducting future wars, they wrote in the press.

Russian leader Vladimir Putin, who announced the mobilization of Russia last week, has threatened Ukraine and the West with a nuclear strike if fighting continues in the occupied territories after their annexation, which is scheduled for September 30th. Since then, the whole world has been waiting and discussing Putin’s next steps.

While announcing the unification of Ukraine’s four regions, Putin also spoke about nuclear weapons, but his threats were somewhat veiled. He said the US had “set a precedent” by dropping atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

Ukrainian intelligence considers the threat of the Kremlin’s use of nuclear weapons as very high, although most experts call this possibility unlikely, but it is not completely ruled out. Ukraine’s Western allies have so far been vague about how they would respond in the event of a nuclear strike.

Senior US Senator Lindsey Graham said the use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine should be considered an attack on NATO. His opinion is shared by some politicians in the West. Correspondent.net gathered press opinion about the threat of a nuclear strike.

Nuclear deterrence as a one-sided game

Visao, Portugal

This merger, which no one recognizes – which, however, does not bother the Kremlin in the least – is the next step in opening the doors to the nuclear arsenal … Putin believes that deterrence, where the concept of mutual assured destruction is based, will work to his advantage – that is, if he uses tactical nuclear weapons, then, they say, the Americans and NATO will not respond in kind – for fear of a possible escalation.

The use of nuclear weapons was intended to intimidate the West

DW, Germany

Experts are unanimous in their opinion that the threat of Russia’s use of nuclear weapons is intended to intimidate the West. “This threat is not new,” warns Margaret Klein of the Science and Politics Foundation. Its aim is to undermine Western support for Ukraine.

The use of nuclear weapons, according to the expert, will not give Russia anything militarily. It can only have political significance, for example, when the regime in Moscow is on the verge of military defeat.

However, Margarethe Klein believes that the use of nuclear weapons is unlikely. This step, in his opinion, would mean that Putin would lose the support of China or India.

On the other hand, Ted Galen Carpenter of the Cato Institute warned: “If Putin was faced with a choice between using nuclear weapons or standing up for his crimes in an international court, he would choose the nuclear option.”

Putin’s new nuclear rhetoric

BBC News, Britain

Political analyst Alexander Baunov noted Putin’s argument that the United States, without military necessity, dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki and “created a precedent.”

“Guess who the precedent is for. Russia has a military need or may emerge,” the analyst assesses the new nuclear rhetoric of the Russian president.

Russia cares what they think of him

Taz, Germany

For now, it would be good to bring into the alliance against the use of nuclear weapons the countries that Russia considers its partners. Countries like China, Turkey, India, Kazakhstan should be encouraged to break their silence on Russia’s prospect of using nuclear weapons.

Russia cares about what its image is like abroad. This is evidenced by the release of prisoners of war sentenced to death and the issuance of Russian citizenship to Edward Snowden.

Consequences of a nuclear strike in Europe

CNN, USA

A conflict with the use of tactical nuclear weapons will quickly get out of control, predict experts from the Union of Concerned Scientists, citing US war games – modeling possible scenarios for the development of conflicts .

Thus, Princeton University’s simulation of a US-Russian conflict that hypothetically begins with the use of tactical nuclear weapons suggests a rapid escalation of events that would kill and maim more than 90 million people.

And the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) argues that Europe in 2022 is a more dangerous location for the use of nuclear weapons than Japan was in 1945 – both because of the latter’s isolation, and because of the smaller its population. country.

In Europe today, “a single nuclear explosion is likely to kill hundreds of thousands of civilians, injure many more; radioactive fallout could contaminate large areas in several countries,” ICAN analysts warn.

“Emergency services cannot respond effectively [на ядерный удар], and mass panic caused mass migration of people and a severe economic collapse. Of course, multiple strikes are even worse,” ICAN added.

The Kremlin will continue to raise the stakes

El País, Spain

At the same time, the most harmless scenario is to conduct a nuclear test near Ukraine, for example, in the Black Sea – as a warning and without human casualties …

This war will decide not only the fate of Ukraine or the geostrategic alignment with Europe, but also the rules of future wars. If Putin, having lost on the traditional battlefield, manages to win by threatening or even using an atomic bomb, and if there is no retaliation, then others will continue to follow his example – in a world where there is no more. terms.

The West must not surrender

France

Putin’s strategy can be summed up in one word: blackmail. Donbass and Crimea – even combined – are illegally occupied territories. To allow a scenario in which European borders are redrawn with the help of force, and even the threat of using weapons of mass destruction, is to admit a disaster.

After all, if the Kremlin is now achieving its goals in the Donbas – after the seizure of Crimea eight years ago – then why should it stop halfway? The West, and above all nuclear powers such as the United States and France, must be clear to Russia that the use of nuclear weapons will have devastating consequences for it. Vladimir Putin is not crazy or suicidal.

If you say you’re not flattering, that’s what you’re doing

Le Matin Dimanche, Switzerland

Putin’s statement is also interesting because it exposes a constant, that is, the old Russian tendency to lie, embedded in the very DNA of society …

It is necessary to constantly show up – and count! – yourself as a victim, to pretend that you are stronger than you really are – in a word, a total lie on all levels. Vladimir Vladimirovich is just a product of this endless self-deception, and this in a country with the GDP of Italy, as well as an army of tired soldiers and outdated guns.

Everything will end the way it always ends: now, in a few months or years, the third fall will come. For a hundred years now, Russia has been a constant fraud.

Putin always chooses escalation

Medusa, Russia

In the coming months, the situation will only increase, and one can only hope that a nuclear war will not happen, one of their senior sources close to the Kremlin is sure: “The conflict must reach a point where the parties will sit. at the table and agree.”

True, it is very difficult to agree now. If not impossible. The annexation has a side effect: from now on, the only acceptable world for the Kremlin is one in which the four Ukrainian regions (Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporozhye and Kherson), as well as Crimea, annexed in 2014, are remains under Russian control.

But Putin seems ready to raise the stakes all the way. As another Faridaily interlocutor, who “worked” with Putin for many years, said about the President of the Russian Federation, “[он] always chooses the increase – and furthermore, in case of any unpleasant forks, it will choose the increase until [использования] nuclear weapons.”

Source: korrespondent

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