Although there will be counter-attacks and counter-offensives, neither side will take decisive action this year, according to Britain’s military intelligence chief.
Neither Russia nor Ukraine is likely to make significant military gains this year, UK military intelligence chief Lieutenant General Jim Gockenhull said, according to BBC News.
He emphasized that his office is closely monitoring the Kremlin’s potential use of nuclear weapons. “We have to be careful about thinking in binary terms — that people win or lose — or think of it as a dead end,” Gockenhall said.
At the same time, according to British intelligence, there is a lack of trust between Russia’s political and military classes, but the strength of Western unity and Ukrainian resistance has exceeded expectations.
“The failures of the Russian army, whose command, control and logistics were ‘poor’, also exceeded expectations,” he suggests.
The Russian army has also suffered from political interference: from the strategic to the tactical level, he added. Gockenhall said he was surprised that Moscow experienced all these problems at the same time.
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According to him, it is clear that Russia is trying to increase the forces after significant losses on the battlefield.
“Russia needs to redeploy some of its troops from the Donbass to the south, where it is under significant pressure from Ukrainian forces in and around Kherson,” Gockenhall said, adding : “It is unrealistic to expect a decisive change in the south in the coming months.”
He said that although there will be counter-attacks and counter-offensives, he does not believe that either side will take decisive action this year. Therefore, he expects that the war in Ukraine will be long.
In recent days, the Russian invaders have moved dozens of battalion tactical groups from eastern Ukraine to the south. It’s thousands of fighters and hundreds of pieces of equipment. The number and composition of the new group does not indicate a desire to hold the occupied territories during the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but to continue the offensive, experts say.
It was assumed that Nikolaev, Zaporozhye and Krivoy Rog could be the targets of the invaders. More about this in the material of the Russian Federation is preparing an offensive in the south: what are the prospects.
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Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.