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Arestovich predicted the further course of the war

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The result of two weeks of intense fighting in the Donbass will be 50/50, but peace will be signed on the terms of Ukraine.

Aleksey Arestovich, adviser to the head of the Office of the President, predicted two weeks of intense fighting in the Donbass and their fate would decide the second phase of the war. He said this in an interview with the Telegraph.

“Their main task is to take Donbass. Judging by the number of people they have thrown there, the political leadership sets the task quite tough. Putin launched a campaign in nine areas of operation – Kyiv, Chernihiv , Sumy, Kharkiv, Lugansk and Donetsk regions, Mariupol, Kherson, Melitopol, Zaporizhia.Now coincide with the two.The JFO zone, Mariupol and a little towards Zaporozhye and Kherson.They lost in six directions.They have none “They’re trying to carry out a partial mobilization in order to replenish the ranks of the army. They’ve also called in reservists under the Bars system – it’s like our operational reserve,” Arestovich said, adding that, too, is progressing poorly.

According to him, of the 120 BTG used by Russian troops during the invasion, about 20 were completely destroyed, nearly 40 were partially unprepared for battle.

“I think, eventually it’s going to be 50/50: where we’re going to be hit in the teeth, somewhere they’re stuck. But that’s it: they have no reserve. The forces they’re getting are not suitable. For on an offensive “, – sure Arestovich.

He noted that in order to re -launch an offensive in many directions, the Russian Federation would need at least two months to gain strength. This means they can make a new big replay no earlier than June.

“But at that time the sanctions will have full effect and break the backbone of Russia’s economy. Therefore, Putin wants to negotiate with Zelensky with at least some success. For example, in our units are surrounded and say: well, are you giving up? concessions. Because Putin can’t afford to lose completely. I mean, it’s worth such a prospect, “Arestovich said.

He added that in his opinion, peace will be signed on the terms of Ukraine.

Recall, on the eve of Arestovich said that Russia wants to end the war and this is indicated by a number of signs.

Earlier, the US general said the war in Ukraine would last for many years.

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Source: korrespondent

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