The question of the necessity for the collapse of the Russian Federation has been the subject of public discussion among Western experts and political circles.
After the Russian invasion of Ukraine, it was not only the Ukrainians who began to talk about the need for the collapse of the Russian Federation in some states. For example, former Polish president Lech Walesa, said that Russia’s population should be reduced to 50 million people. He is confident that “the separation of Russia today” will ensure global security. And in one of the U.S. government committees, hearings on the division of the Russian Federation have already been held. Athletistic telling details.
The problem is not just Putin
The first president of post-socialist Poland, Nobel Peace Prize winner Lech Walesa, expressed the need to reduce Russia’s population to 50 million people. In his opinion, “the disintegration of Russia today” will ensure global security.
“There are 60 people who have been annexed, just like Ukrainians today. We must raise these people who have been annexed to Russia. Either change Russia’s political system, or return it to a population of less than 50 million people, ”Walesa said in an interview with the French edition of Le Figaro on Sunday.
The former Western politician called for the liberation of not only Ukraine, but also Russia itself from Russia. The politician considers it necessary “to force change in the political system in Russia, as well as to organize an uprising of the people.”
According to the former president, if regime change cannot be fixed, Russia must be “sliced to ensure world security.”
He was also convinced that the West was interested in expanding its power and influence and achieved its goals “democratically and, therefore, legally, unlike Russia.”
In addition, the former president of Poland expressed regret that he was not allowed to “overthrow Russia” during the reign of the first president of the USSR, Mikhail Gorbachev.
“Then we said to each other:” There is Stalin, Brezhnev, but Gorbachev is good. “Therefore, we left them alone. It was our mistake. I wanted to do it, but they did not allow me to do it. , ”Walesa said.
In early February, the former president of Poland proposed an immediate strike against Moscow in case there was a full -scale invasion of Ukraine. Walesa then said that “no evil deed by Putin should be allowed.”
“This time he went away. You can not retreat, because every next attack by Putin is worse. In Moscow. You must prepare,” – he said on the eve of a comprehensive war.
In his opinion, Poland should do everything to support Ukraine: “even to recruit volunteers. Consequently our common interest is not a step back. We must sacrifice everything and invest in Ukraine all the resources we have. “
Walesa is probably not the only Western politician who shares this idea. At the very least, discussions on this issue are already revolving around public space in the West.
In late June, the U.S. Congressional Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe, known as the Helsinki Commission, held hearings on the partition of the Russian Federation under the title Decolonization of Russia. American experts have called this subject “moral and strategic imperative.”
They suggested the emergence of new republics on the territory of the Russian Federation, such as Siberia, the Far East, Sakha, Buryatia. The North Caucasus is detailed in a similar way. Under the name Russia will remain part of the European territory of the Russian Federation.
Future independent republics in which the Russian Federation should be divided
However, the start of public discussion could be called the May article by the author of the book American Kleptocracy Casey Michel in the authoritative magazine The Atlantic entitled Decolonization of Russia. He was one of the participants in the Helsinki Commission hearings.
The article says that replacing the authoritarian regime with a democratic regime will not solve Russia’s problem. Michel wrote that the root of the problem of Russian militarism and regeneration is the indeterminate imperialist character of the Russian state, unconquered by which it remains a source of threats to Ukraine and its other neighbors.
“Russia has unleashed a major war that the world has not seen in decades, all because of imperial ambitions. To avoid the risk of further wars and senseless bloodshed, the Kremlin must lose what empire it is. it still remains. Russia’s decolonization project must finally be completed “, the article said.
But he believes complete abolition, as proposed by former U.S. Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney, is not necessary. In 1991, Cheney cited the need to “dismantle not only the USSR and the Russian Empire, but Russia itself, so that it would no longer pose a threat to the rest of the world.” According to Michel, it can start with democratic federalism, as required by the Russian constitution.
The question of the need to reflect on one’s imperialism in a decolonial root was also formed in the article “From Pushkin to Putin: The Imperialist Ideology of Russian Literature” published in another authoritative Foreign Policy publication.
More radical proposals are featured in the article “The Parting: Time to Prepare for Russia’s Disintegration” by Julian Spencer-Churchill, a former American military and now professor of international relations at Concord University, published in The National Interest.
According to the author, the regime in Russia will inevitably change, and with the advent of the liberal government, the territories inhabited by national minorities will begin to separate from themselves. Therefore, Spencer-Churchill invites the West to think in advance about what kind of space reform of the current Russian Federation it is interested in.
The former military cited two potential problems in connection with the collapse of the Russian Federation: the absorption of China’s Far East and inter-ethnic wars in the Caucasus, in which Turkey and Iran could intervene.
More drama is contained in a multi-page report by one of the Jamestown Foundation’s leading analysts, Janusz Bugaisky, under the heading Mapping Russia’s Devolution. Bugaisky has been described as a follower of the tradition in which former U.S. national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski appeared.
Bugaisky believes that the Russian authorities are doing the exact opposite of what needs to be done to keep the Russian Federation – instead of building federalism, a hyper -centralist state has been built ignoring regional differences. and ethnic interests.
As he writes, this will result in Russia’s defeat in a hybrid war against the West, led by Ukraine, which will lead to the emergence of all the concrete contradictions of Putin’s personalist dictatorship.
For Russia, he predicts the fate of Libya after the fall of Muammar Gaddafi or close to what has already happened in Russia – a civil war at the beginning of the last century. We are talking about the fusion of political, regional and ethnic conflicts.
And in mid -June, the website of the Center for European Political Analysis published an article After Putin by renowned American analyst Edward Lucas.
It says the Western world should accept the decolonization of Russia as a long -term goal, and not focus on changing the Putin regime. To do so, he calls on the West to win not only over the national minorities living in the Russian Federation, but also over the pro-Western Russians and Orthodox.
“We need to set goals and priorities. We need to decide what sacrifices and risks we are willing to make in the coming months, years and decades. We should have already done that in 1991. And we shouldn’t take much longer. The shortened term for our goal is to be decolonization. Instead of focusing on “regime change” or the personality of Vladimir Putin, all foreign countries dealing with Russia should keep this long -term goal in mind, “he said. his examination.
News from Athletistic in the Telegram. Subscribe to our channel Athletistic
Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.