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Peace is more and more likely. The West sees the end of war

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Mike Volz, who will be appointed by US President-elect Donald Trump as his national security adviser, said that Trump’s team is thinking about how to stop Russia’s war against Ukraine.

Russia’s war against Ukraine may be entering its final stages, and a peace deal appears more likely than ever, Rajan Menon, an analyst and senior fellow at the Institute for War and Peace Studies at Columbia University, said. wrote in The New York Times examining possible agreements that could be reached in the final stages of the war. Menon was confident that an agreement could be reached and that the time had come to plan for the post-war phase, since Russia would still be Ukraine’s neighbor, which could attack again.

Situations dfor Ukraine

According to Mennon, there are several possible scenarios for Ukraine’s future security. The author of the publication emphasizes that Ukraine’s hopes for NATO membership will likely remain unfulfilled.

In this case, an alternative could be a coalition of states willing to guarantee Ukraine’s security. However, the analyst is convinced that the problem is that Ukraine wants the United States to be among the guarantor countries, while at the same time, US President-elect Donald Trump aims to end the war without any commitment to protect Ukraine. He also seeks to reduce America’s security commitments to Europe altogether and is unlikely to sign such an agreement.

The analyst points out that the Asia-Pacific region will be a priority for the United States to contain China, and the security of Ukraine will always be more important to Europeans than to Americans. Therefore, we should expect that the role of the US military in Europe will be reduced and that the Europeans will have to take on more of the burden of providing for their defense.

Another possible model is armed neutrality. The scenario involves Russia pledging not to attack Ukraine, and Kyiv, in turn, rejecting NATO membership and the placement of foreign troops and weapons on its territory. Menon emphasizes that such a course of events would make Ukraine more vulnerable than other solutions.

Ukraine, Menon writes, has shown that it is a formidable opponent, and if its battle-tested army can be made stronger and better equipped, Russia will have to rely on a stronger opponent.

The end of the war may be approaching, but the analyst is convinced that for a lasting peace, rather than a freeze after Russia attacks again, “what matters is what happens next.”

Finish, never stop

Congressman from Florida Mike Volz, who will be appointed by US President-elect Donald Trump as his national security adviser, said that Trump’s team is thinking about how to stop Russia’s war against Ukraine, and don’t just suspend it for a while. He said that all European allies who went to Trump and his team, as well as Zelensky and other politicians during the meeting in Paris, discussed “how we end this conflict” in a method that “makes it permanent, not just paused.”

Trump’s adviser commented on the possibility of deploying peacekeepers from NATO countries on the territory of Ukraine, noting that NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, who arrived at Mar-a-Lago, said that “Europeans will have a greater role … after the end of this conflict,” which the president-elect requested for the USA.

Not everyone believes in a fast world

Trump will try to negotiate peace with Ukraine and may change his mind about stopping military aid, former Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba said in an interview with The Times. He emphasized that there are still “fundamental differences” between the aggressor country Russia and Ukraine that make peace impossible. Kuleba believes that “there will be no quick peace negotiations.”

“Trump has a great instinct for assessing what is good for him in the here and now – and that could change. If things go really bad for Ukraine on the battlefield, there is a risk that Trump will be accused of abandoning Ukraine. He will change his mind and give help,” said Kuleba. At the same time, he considers the idea of ​​placing foreign peacekeepers in Ukraine impossible, because 40 thousand military personnel from Britain and France will not be enough for at 1,500 km front in Ukraine.

Source: korrespondent

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