Problems for Ukraine. Macron lost in parliament

France’s first re -elected president in 20 years has lost his parliamentary majority. In opposition – right and left fans of Vladimir Putin.

The results of the second round of parliamentary elections in France are clear: President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist camp remains the leading force in the National Assembly, but it no longer has an absolute majority.

The election results are a danger for the country, said French Prime Minister Elisabeth Born. But this could be a problem not only for France, but also for Ukraine and the EU. Athletistic telling details.

Unprecedented results of the French Parliament elections

Coalition of French President Emmanuel Macron Together! received 38.57 percent of the vote in the second round of parliamentary elections after the completion of the processing of ballots. The coalition will receive 245 seats in the lower house, 289 mandates are needed for an absolute majority.

Leaders of the second round of parliamentary elections in France:

• Together! – 38.57 percent or 245 seats (is 345)

• Jean -Luc Mélenchon’s coalition of the left Nupes – 31.6 percent or 131 seats (is 60)

• right -wing National Rally Marine Le Pen – 17.3 percent or 89 seats (with eight)

• Republicans – 6.98 percent or 61 seats (out of 100)

• there will also be 22 deputies from different left forces, ten from different right forces and ten deputies from the regions

The results of the second round of legislative elections in France turned out to be worse than expected, both for the presidential coalition Together !, and for the anti-presidential Nupes, quickly formed by left-wing populist Jean-Luc Melenchon , a Trotskyist, an ardent opponent of NATO and the EU, who finished third in the presidential election, as well as a fan of Russia’s leader Vladimir Putin, who called for a “civil revolution”.

French Prime Minister Elisabeth Born has said the ruling party will seek allies to create a majority in parliament. He believes the election results are a danger for the country.

“Never in the history of the Fifth Republic has the National Assembly recognized such an adjustment. This situation represents a danger for our country, because of the challenges we have to face both at the national and international level. From tomorrow, we will start work on creating an active majority, “Bourne said in a speech on June 20.

To do this, it is necessary to find compromises and work in a dialogue with the various political forces. Bourne vowed that his government would continue to protect the purchasing power of the French from inflation and would make environmental protection the center of cabinet policy.

The president of France will need to seek support from other parties to implement his broad reforms, such as raising the retirement age, reducing taxes and reforming the state benefits system.

However, only conservatives from the Republican Party can be considered coalition partners for the Centrists. Their leader, Christian Jacob, after an unsuccessful speech by Republicans, said they were “a party opposed to Macron”, and that his entire party sees the situation that way.

So, Jacob may want to sell his votes at a high price, or he fears that the remaining representatives of the conservative camp may also melt into Macron’s political alliance.

Mélenchon considers the results of the vote devastating for the presidential movement and Macron’s policy: “First of all, this is a complete failure for the macronists.”.

Mélenchon, 70, has repeatedly said in recent weeks that Macron has put the country in turmoil and a kind of social hell. Although such citations brought Nupes a good result and many votes from young voters who did not see much opportunity for career growth, they were not enough to win a parliamentary majority.

Despite their lack of unity, Nupes and the National Association will certainly block any, even smaller legislative initiatives from the presidential majority, French analysts say. At the same time, Putin’s “shoe -changing” fan Le Pen would be opposed to both the president’s majority initiatives and the Nupes proposals.

Supporters of the president predict that a complete paralysis of the legislature and that the National Assembly could be dissolved in about a year (and the president has such a right under the French constitution), after which it can convene new elections.

However, observers say the most surprising election result was the number of those who ignored the vote: 54 percent of French people, mostly young people and representatives of the less affluent part of the population, did not attend the ballot. box in the second round.

What do they mean for France, Ukraine and the whole of Europe

The last time a Gaullist president, Jacques Chirac, lost a majority in the National Assembly was after the 1997 election, when he had to rule alongside a socialist government. Together with the communists, they formed the majority, were able to claim the position of prime minister and further neutralized the conservative president.

There are now four far -away political forces represented in parliament, making it unlikely, or at least difficult. The Bourne government will continue because it no longer needs to be approved by the National Assembly.

Macron, who recently tried to play a prominent role in trying to convince Putin to stop the war against Ukraine as one of the EU’s top statesmen, now threatens to be interrupted by problems within the country.

Instead of relying on (and therefore essentially ignoring) a subsequent legislature, the president now has to face a National Assembly that cannot guarantee the implementation of his reforms.

If there is no permanent partner, Macron supporters will have to seek a majority situation in each case to advance the bills. Every vote on a bill or budget will balance on the brink of failure, which is unlikely to create a sustainable situation in the long run.

“The next five years will be terra incognita for Emmanuel Macron. Like it or not, he needs to discuss and negotiate. In this area, the president has not yet shined, in other words – it applies to the same dialogue with representative and liaison with unions and associations. For these miscalculations, he was punished in the current parliamentary elections, “wrote the French newspaper Liberation.

Such a situation in French history occurred in 1988, when socialist President François Mitterrand failed to achieve an absolute majority and over the next five years was forced to seek compromise with other parties – once in the middle right, once in the formerly powerful Communist Party.

Even within his own coalition, Macron’s position would be more dangerous. Because, under the French constitution, he cannot be elected for a third term, the question of a successor remains open. At some point, the President’s allies, such as former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe, can be expected to start campaigning for the presidency.

“It will be very difficult to govern France,” said analyst and sociologist Jérôme Fourquet. Historically, however, the second term of the presidency in the Fifth Republic has never been successful.

The rise of Euroskeptics will certainly question France’s role as head of the European Union, the Spanish newspaper El Mundo says:

“These parliamentary elections can be likened to a real earthquake in French politics. They got a record number of seats for Marine Le Pen’s far -right party, as a result of which it will now form the third largest faction. in parliament! … It is hoped that now, when the EU is shaken by such challenges as Russia’s invasion, Paris will take the lead. However, the results of yesterday’s elections have hardly helped it. “

Instability in France will affect the entire European Union, the Turkish edition of the Aargauer Zeitung also says:

“Political instability in Paris, which could result in a political blockade, has the potential to spread throughout the European Union. -European political impulses on the continent.”

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