The United States “has a higher stake” in Russia’s war against Ukraine than “most people think,” ISW said.
With United States military aid to Ukraine stalled in Congress and Kyiv on urgent need for more aid, a Washington think tank Institute for the Study of War the alarm sounds. On December 14, ISW experts released a special material called The high cost of the loss of Ukraine. What they warn is more than just a story.
High stakes
Russia’s victory means more than the end of Ukraine, ISW analysts say. They say it would give China the green light to exercise its power over a weakening US and cost American taxpayers an “astronomical” sum to pay for increased defense spending.
The institute warned that if Russia wins, the United States will be forced to move American troops and more aircraft to Eastern Europe, stretching the US to the point where it could allow China to claim Taiwan. Which, under these conditions, certainly wanted to expand its territory and influence.
Analysts say the United States “has a higher stake” in Russian President Vladimir Putin’s brutal, nearly two-year war in Ukraine “than most people think.”
What would happen without Washington’s help?
Experts note that Republicans in the US Congress are now blocking new aid to Ukraine, and President Joe Biden is accusing them of holding funds hostage in an attempt to “advance an extreme agenda of the Republican party” on the US-Mexico border .
However, some Republicans say they want stricter immigration rules and increased border security funding in exchange for aid to Ukraine, while other right-wing lawmakers ruled out giving Kyiv more money in total.
SA Institute The response was that if Western aid to Kiev were suddenly cut off, as the congressional Republicans are now threatening, it would “probably sooner or later lead to the collapse of Ukraine’s ability to hold the Russian army” and eventually Putin will be allowed to take over the country. .
Helping Ukraine hold the line against Russian troops through Western military aid would be “more profitable and cheaper” for the United States than if Kyiv lost the war, military experts say.
“Stretch” the USA
“Such an outcome would lead to a defeated but victorious Russian army right on NATO’s border from the Black Sea to the Arctic Ocean,” the publication said.
This means the US will be forced to deploy a “significant part” of its ground forces in Eastern Europe to “contain and defend against the new Russian threat after their victory”, the ISW added. In addition, the US will have to put a large number of fighters in Europe, because the Russian Federation wants to move the air defense itself to the border of NATO.
“Moving and maintaining these aircraft are inherently expensive, but the challenges of producing them quickly will likely force the United States to make a difficult choice between maintaining an adequate number of Asia to defend Taiwan and its other Asian allies, or a possible Russian attack on NATO. allies.” in ISW.
And this would basically weaken America’s ability to defend Taiwan.
“The need to send a significant fleet of stealth aircraft to Europe could seriously impair America’s ability to effectively respond to a Chinese aggression against Taiwan, as all situations in Taiwan are highly dependent on the same fighters that would be needed to defend Europe,” experts say.
The think tank also added: “The cost of these defensive measures would be astronomical and likely to be accompanied by a period of extremely high risk when US forces are not sufficiently prepared or even ready to confront Russia or China, let both situations go together. .”
New Correspondent.net on Telegram and WhatsApp. Subscribe to our channels Athletistic and WhatsApp
Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.