Russia’s military has not yet reached the territorial goals declared by Vladimir Putin, experts say.
The President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin plans to include the occupied south and east of Ukraine directly in the Russian Federation. This was stated on Sunday, May 15 in a report by the American Institute for the Study of War ISW.
The article says the merger would allow the Russian leader to say he could defend, including new territories, using nuclear weapons.
“Such actions threaten Ukraine and its partners with a nuclear attack if Ukrainian counter-offensives continue to liberate Russian-occupied territory,” the article said.
Analysts note that the timing of such a merger is likely to depend on Putin’s understanding of Russia’s bad military state in Ukraine.
“Russia’s military has not yet achieved Putin’s stated territorial goals to secure the Donetsk and Lugansk regions and it is unlikely to be able to do so. If Putin realizes his military weakness, he is likely to hurry in the merger and rapidly introduce nuclear deterrence in an attempt to maintain control. in some parts of the Ukrainian territory currently occupied by Russia, “the experts said.
They also suggested that if Putin believed that Russian forces were capable of succeeding, he would likely postpone the merger in hopes of gaining more territory.
“In this case, his weak leadership and Ukrainian counter-offensives could lead to the collapse of the Russian army,” experts said.
Analysts are convinced that Ukraine and the West must develop a coordinated response plan to any annexation and the threat of a nuclear attack that may follow.
“The political and ethical implications of the years of Russian occupation of southeastern Ukraine will be devastating to the long-term viability of the Ukrainian state. Say.
In addition, the analysis says, Moscow could also include other Kremlin proxy states such as South Ossetia (in Georgia) and Transnistria (in Moldova).
Russia previously reported plans to send up to 2,500 reservists to the war in Ukraine, which are already undergoing training at training areas in Russia’s Voronezh, Belgorod and Rostov regions.
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Source: korrespondent
