If the Russian Federation does not initiate mandatory mobilization and does not replenish ammunition stocks, it will be difficult for the fighting, according to US intelligence.
Russia does not yet have enough ammunition and troops to make significant territorial gains in Ukraine this year, so it may switch to a strategy of holding and defending existing positions, which would prolong the war. This is what the Director of National Intelligence of the United States, Avril Haynes, said, The New York Times reports.
After recent setbacks on the battlefield, Russian President Vladimir Putin has begun to recognize the problems facing Russian troops and may adjust his strategy in the short term, he said.
“Even as the Russian offensive continues, the Russians are taking heavy casualties. Perhaps Putin is more aware of the limits of what his military can achieve and seems to be focusing on more limited military targets now,” Haynes said.
According to the Director of US National Intelligence, Russia may choose to continue the war in Ukraine, even if it means a long pause in offensive operations, as the best chance to achieve its strategic goals.
Haynes also said that in addition to troop losses, Russia faces critical issues of morale and ammunition shortages.
“Unless Russia begins mandatory mobilization and sees significant supplies of ammunition from third countries, it will be increasingly difficult for it to maintain the current level of offensive operations in the coming months,” he predicted.
“And, as a result, they can completely switch to the maintenance and defense of the territories they have conquered. In other words, we do not predict that the Russian military will recover enough this year to achieve significant territorial gains ,” the director of US Emphasized National Intelligence.
Recall that NATO has calculated that since the beginning of a full-scale war, Russia has lost more than 200 thousand Russian soldiers in Ukraine, more than 1,800 officers have been killed or wounded. The Russian Federation also lost more than two thousand main battle tanks.
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Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.