During the new wave, the Kremlin intends to call about 500,000 people, including mortgage debtors and alimony defaulters.
The fact that the Kremlin intends to call additional forces for a new offensive was announced by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on January 4. And the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, Kirill Budanov, announced on the same day that a new wave of mobilization in the Russian Federation will begin on January 5.
Today, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that Russia has begun to take measures to prevent the departure of conscripts from the country. A complete ban on crossing the state border for men of military age has not been ruled out.
Experts predict that the Kremlin will not officially announce the draft, but it will have a wider scope, and Russia may start serving subpoenas on the job itself.
Many people want to call
Military expert Oleg Zhdanov believes that the Russian authorities will not officially announce the second wave of mobilization.
“This is due to the fact that they are very afraid of a social explosion and in order not to tempt society, they decided not to announce a new wave of mobilization,” said Zhdanov.
Moreover, the Kremlin will not close the borders and declare martial law. The last item is being prepared for the second half of February, Zhdanov believes. And it will be set to coincide with an attempt to strike again, when a 200,000-strong group is assembled.
In total, according to the expert, two million people are planned to be mobilized in the Russian Federation in 2023. And during the second wave, they intend to call almost 500 thousand people.
The Kremlin even determined the categories of citizens that could best be mobilized without upsetting the mainstream of society, Zhdanov said.
“The second wave will be very active to raise about 500 thousand people. What did they think: mortgages are common in Russia, taken for everything: purchases, repairs, apartments, cars, gifts. Accordingly, there are hundreds of thousands of mortgage debtors in Russia. This is the first category, which will be subject to the summons. That is, who owes money to the bank, everyone will receive a summons,” said the expert.
The second category, according to him, is those who continue not to pay alimony. So, the Kremlin wants to solve the problem of single mothers and start paying them from the salaries of the mobilized, and the issue of closing the borders disappears: debtors cannot leave Russia still.
Work subpoena
Olga Kurnosova, Russian political analyst, editor-in-chief of the After empire portal, said that from the New Year in the Russian Federation, subpoenas can begin to be issued at work.
“In my opinion, it will not be like a raid on the streets, because this is a very public story. But handing out subpoenas at work is the easiest and most effective way, because it is impossible to refuse this subpoena, because you accept it at work “, – said Kurnosova on the FREEDOM TV channel.
Therefore, the analyst advises citizens of the Russian Federation not to go to the military enlistment office with a call to change their place of residence and work.
He also expressed his opinion about potential protests in the Russian Federation against the war in Ukraine. Kurnosova believes this could have the effect of stopping the war, as Putin fears losing power.
“Even if you count all those who left Russia, if instead of going, they went to Moscow and went out there, anywhere – on Krasnaya, on Manezhnaya, on Triumfalnaya, on any square in Moscow – they would not fit there. . And, of course, this will be an event after which Putin will have to change something,” the expert believes.
New challenge
Despite the unmotivated Russians mobilized in Kyiv, they consider them a serious challenge. Anna Malyar, Ukraine’s deputy defense minister, said that Russia’s preparations for a new wave of mobilization indicate the Kremlin’s intention to wage a long war.
“The mobilization there is really powerful, and it’s really a very serious challenge. And it shows that they are determined to fight for a long time,” he said on the air of a national telethon on Tuesday, January 3.
Malyar emphasized that the formation of private armies implies the demotivation of regular troops.
“They basically don’t understand what they have to die for here. Second, in fact, how they are treated by the Russian authorities, they don’t want to fight. Therefore, private individuals are more motivated, they fight for money. that they no longer have enough regular resources,” he explained.
news Correspondent.net on Telegram. Subscribe to our channel Athletistic
Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.