According to analyst Dario Pedraglio, “OAS intervention will not necessarily be significant” in favor of the government.

Consulting company political scientist 50+1Dario Pedraglio, considered this Saturday that the intervention of the Organization of American States (OAS) the political crisis in the country will not necessarily be “significant” in favor of the position of the government of Pedro Castillo or the opposition.

AT Rotary Air, Dario Pedraglio commented on the ad OAS send a mission consisting of the foreign ministers of Argentina, Ecuador, Paraguay, Guatemala and Belize to analyze the political situation and predict a possible balanced statement.

“It seems to me that this is a fairly balanced mission or group of members, there are some government officials from the more left, like Colombia, others that may be closer to the center, like Costa Rica, and others more to the right, like Paraguay, but it seems like a fairly balanced commission. I don’t think that they will speak out exclusively in favor of someone or another, usually they don’t, and the context doesn’t prove it either, he said.

Dario Pedraglio explained that in the context of the “vulnerability” of the government and the opposition Congress, which seeks to release him, the President Peter’s castle he sought to anticipate, “play his chips” and face the international organization that defends or supports him.

“However, interference OAS it will not necessarily be significant, in the sense that it will take a position entirely in favor of one or the other. Usually in this context, representatives OAS and they want to get closer to both sides, and if both sides can reach some kind of consensus or some kind of solution that favors democracy or the country. It seems to me that the fact is that it is very beneficial for the president Lock”, said.

“Political decision” in the Portalatino case

On the other hand, Dario Pedraglio argued that the President’s decision Peter’s castle appointing Free Peru spokesman Kelly Portalatino as head of the Ministry of Health (Minsa) means keeping the quota Vladimir Serron in the office.

“It was to be expected given the context in which he found himself. We must remember that this is a president whose absolute priority is to survive, to remain in office, and without a doubt, in this context, he cannot risk losing the support he has now. in Congress and a change of course rather than personality and removing someone from Cerrón or someone with the profile of Cevallos, this government’s premier health minister, would risk losing the vote for Peru Libre, which makes it seem to me that the current president doesn’t want to do it. This decision is much more political than technical,” he said.

For Dario Pedraglio, this would be “quite risky” for the president. Peter’s castle remove the Ministry of Health from the hands of Vladimir Serron, since the health sector is very large and manages many resources.

“Although Castillo is more vulnerable to attempts to be expelled from Congress, those who defend him in this institution have more power, those who defend Lock from Congress has more bargaining power when Lock more vulnerable because he needs your votes more,” he said.

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