Russian troops launched a decisive offensive in the Donbass, this battle has already been compared to the events of World War II.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that the Russian occupiers had already begun the fight for the Donbass. The Russians focused a significant portion of their army for an offensive in eastern Ukraine. Many politicians and experts have called this battle the main battle of the war. What is the alignment of forces and what can be expected from this operation?
offensive plan
In recent weeks, the Russians have been concentrating troops in the Donbass, forming a strike force to break down Ukrainian defenses. Their plan was to attack from the south and north of Donbass to surround Ukrainian troops and reach the administrative borders of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions. They will allegedly do so before May 9, where a military parade is scheduled in Moscow.
According to experts, by concentrating forces and firepower, Russian troops will try to bypass the Ukrainian mobile defense in successive operations. The outcome depends on whether the concentration of forces on a narrow front will make it possible to solve the tactical problems of the Russians expressed in the first months of the war.
Factors against Russia
The Russians had big problems with personnel, general mobilization was not carried out, morale was low, huge losses. There are also technical problems.
“The Russian Federation is experiencing great difficulties in the mobilization and concentration of equipment. After all, equipment operated by the Russian Federation together with military units is not enough to create a shock fist. The method of long -term storage , which is in conservation, is used.And for Russia, its quality leaves a lot to be desired.For the Russian army, they are big problems, because the combat readiness of long-term storage equipment depends on the quality of conservation, on aging, and on the honesty of the staff who serve it.According to various estimates, many tanks do not have engines, batteries, due to theft, something damaged, etc. So Today’s trend is called technical cannibalism, which, roughly speaking, in ten pieces of equipment they make.ready to fight a maximum of two or three.That is, the spare parts are removed from some units and those that should be ready for battle are placed, ”said military expert Nikolai Sungurovsky.
donbaFactors against Ukraine
Russia still has more human and technical resources than Ukraine.
“In terms of numbers, they have more groups than us. And the hardest, most dangerous and undesirable for us is that massive artillery attacks, missile forces and, possibly, aviation have intensified. We need to survive it, maintain our fighting capability and give a well-deserved rejection, ”Sungurovsky believes.
The Ukrainian army lacked (and initially lacked) heavy equipment. First of all, we are talking about long-range air defense systems capable of withstanding Russian aircraft at any height, as well as combat vehicles capable of mobile the Ukrainian army on the offensive.
In recent days, the West began to transfer heavy equipment and artillery to Ukraine, but it was too late.
Source: korrespondent
