The large-scale Russian war against Ukraine has been going on for months now and there is every reason to believe that it will cross the calendar borders of 2022.
This is stated in an article published by the Ukrinform agency analyzing the prospects for a further military campaign, the authors of which are Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny and First Deputy Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on National Security, Defense and Intelligence, Lieutenant General Mikhail Zabrodsky.
In this regard, the authors of the article make an assumption about possible Russian actions in the future:
certain operational prospects for the enemy are visible in the Izyum and Bakhmut directions. The likely ultimate goal of such actions may be to reach the administrative border of the Donetsk region;
the prospect of advancing in the Zaporozhye direction may look even more attractive to the enemy. It ensures further actions to the north and the creation of a direct threat to the capture of Zaporozhye and the Dnieper, which will lead to the loss of control by the Ukrainian side over a significant part of the Left-Bank Ukraine;
not excluded from the agenda and a return to the plan of capturing Kyiv and the threat of a re-deployment of hostilities from the territory of Belarus;
Most of all, it is beneficial for the Russians to advance in the south – from the bridgehead on the right bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region. Successes in this sector of the front open up real prospects for them to capture Nikolaev and Odessa, and create a threat towards Krivoy Rog and further to the central and western regions of Ukraine.
The only way to radically change the strategic situation, of course, is to inflict several successive, and in the ideal case, simultaneous counterattacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces during the 2023 campaign, the article notes. – It is superfluous to note separately their purely military, as well as political and informational significance. At the same time, the issue of their organization and implementation requires more attention.
Source: Ukrinform
Source: Racurs
