The Kremlin is unlikely to build enough forces to reach a final strength of more than 1,500,000 soldiers, as described in the decree.
Russian President Vladimir Putin is still trying to avoid a general mobilization. This is evidenced by the relatively modest increase in the number of Russian troops in accordance with the order he signed. This is stated in the report of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
The Russian military probably wants to repair the damage from the invasion of Ukraine and gather forces to continue their “operation” in Ukraine.
According to analysts, the Russian command, contrary to Putin’s order, is unlikely to create enough forces to reach the final number of more than 1 million 500 thousand soldiers.
“Historically, the RF Armed Forces did not reach their goals in terms of numerical strength. For example, in 2022, before a full-scale invasion, there were approximately 850,000 military personnel in the ranks of the Armed Forces, which less than the nominal final strength of more than 1 million people,” the experts wrote.
Moreover, Russia will face challenges in quickly attracting a large number of new soldiers: “Russia’s training capacity has probably decreased since February 24, as the Kremlin sent training units to participate in battles. And these training units are reported to have been defeated.” .
At the same time, analysts note that Russia may use conscription in the fall of October 2022 (in particular, in the occupied territories in Ukraine) to recruit about 130,000 people to replace losses.
However, the Institute for the Study of War believes that the increase in Russian combat power will not be very large.
Recall that Putin signed a decree increasing the regular strength of the Russian armed forces by 137 thousand people from January 1, 2023.
After that, the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine advised the Russian military command, with the increase of the army, to buy additional body bags.
News from Correspondent.net on Telegram. Subscribe to our channel Athletistic
Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.