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Russian offensive runs out of momentum – ISW

The Russians have not capitalized on previous gains around Bakhmut and Avdiivka and are unlikely to gain more territory in the coming months.

The Russian army is showing an inability to operationalize small tactical gains, which is likely to prevent it from making significant territorial advances in Ukraine in the coming months. This is stated in the report of the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) for August 21.

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The inability of Russian forces to capitalize on past successes around Bakhmut and Avdiivka is an example of a more fundamental Russian military problem – a demonstrated inability to convert tactical successes into operational successes.

It found that Russian forces have consistently failed to take advantage of tactical breakthroughs to maneuver into Ukraine’s rear areas or disable significant parts of Ukraine’s defense lines.

“Therefore, they continue to give the Ukrainians time to tactically disengage and re-establish defensive positions against which the Russians will have to launch new attacks. will be able to capture more territory in the coming months , unless the situation develops in an unexpected way,” stressed the ISW.

Military analysts are confident that Russian forces will likely never be able to devote sufficient resources to any one offensive operation to restore the momentum needed for a significant territorial advance.

“The momentum of Russian forces from the territorial gains around Bakhmut and Avdiivka at the end of July is likely to have run out and Russian attacks in eastern Ukraine are likely to end, although very little Russian progress is likely to continue,” they concluded.

Russia needs to strengthen the defense of Crimea – ISW

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Source: korrespondent

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