“Critical days.” The beginning of the exercises in Belarus

Russia and Belarus have begun the teachings of West 2025, which has caused NATO to remember after the drone attack in Poland.

On Friday, Russia and Belarus began joint military training in west 2025. This year they took place against the rear of an increase in tension after invading Russian drones to Poland’s airspace at the beginning of this week.

Although the exercises were planned long before the incident with the drones, they put NATO in a tense position.

“Critical Day” for Poland

Members of the Eastern NATO, bordering Belarus-Pland, Lithuania and Latvia-are in a state of increasing readiness due to exercises, which, according to Belarus, are held near Borisov (east of Minsk).

All three countries have strengthened security measures, and Poland has generally ordered to completely close its border.

Poland prime minister Donald Tusk has warned of “critical days” for his country. He said Warsaw was closer to the “open conflict” than ever since World War II, after Poland and NATO allies raised airplanes in the air to overthrow Russia’s drones morning on Wednesday.

Moscow has dropped these fears.

“These are planned exercises, they are not directed against someone,” a spokesman told reporters on Thursday

Kremlin Dmitry Peskov, who denied Poland’s statements that the teachings were an “aggressive” manifestation of force.

However, the President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky also warned Moscow’s intent.

“The meaning of such actions of Russia is certainly not defensive and is directed not only against Ukraine,” he said on Thursday at Kyiv.

Just a show?

Usually, western exercises are held every four years. This year, the exercises took place in the first instance at a full -scale Russian invasion of Ukraine and lasts until September 16th.

Moscow sent nearly 200 thousand troops to similar exercises in 2021, just months before a full aggression. However, as expected, this year the exercises will be lower due to Moscow’s wrath against Ukraine.

In January, Belarus said 13 thousand military personnel would take part in the exercises, but in May it was learned that their number would be reduced by half.

According to Tusk, the exercises were called to imitate the conquest of the Suvalsky Corridor – a geographical gap, reaching the border between Poland and Lithuania, Bounds in Belarus and Russian Kaliningrad.

This corridor is considered vulnerable to NATO and may potentially be the first goal of any Russian attack.

Belarus leader Alexander Lukashenko, called these fears of “complete bullshit.” The country’s defense minister also said the exercises were moved from the borders including Poland and Ukraine to “reduce tightening.”

Despite this, Poland in the EBA however has limited wind movement along its eastern border and closed several checkpoints on the border with Belarus, which led to criticism from Moscow.

Lithuania and Latvia also announced the slight closure of the airspace.

Russia’s placement of tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus has provided a new risk. In August, Minsk said the new Russian experimental Oreshnik missile experiment was involved in the exercises, as well as nuclear strikes.

Is there a risk in Ukraine

State Border Service press secretary Andrei Demchenko confirmed that training in West 2025 begins today, September 12. At the same time, according to him, a large number of Russian troops in Belarus are not currently observed.

“Of course, the terrorist country for these teachings has sent some divisions, personnel and equipment to Belarus, but their number is much lower than even Russia hid nearly 10-12 thousand of its staff in Belarus in 2023,” Demchenko said.

He made sure that Ukraine’s intelligence would be noted if there was a definite transfer of troops or equipment closer to our border.

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