Five situations for the end of the war. CNN Forecasting

There is a choice that in negotiations will be in agreement with new negotiations later, after the start of the cold weather, which will lead to freezing in front of all the senses around October,

In CNN, five possible scenarios for the end of the war were outlined, in which the aggressive country of the Russian Federation was released against Ukraine.

Cease-fire

According to the publication of the CNN Nick Payton Walsh, it is not likely that the Russian dictator will agree with the ceasefire, where the front lines will remain unchanged -USA, Europe and Ukraine have requested such a break in May 2025 under the threat of penalties, but does not agree with the Kremlin.

“Trump refused to be penalties, prefers low levels of negotiations with Istanbul, which does not lead to anything. The 30-day stop at the beginning of this year has not been fully observed about energy infrastructure and not success,” Welsh said.

According to the journalist, even Trump’s threat to impose a second penalty against China and India, which seems to prevent US pressure, will not change the situation until the end of the day.

“At least in October, Putin wanted to fight, because he was convinced he won,” Walsh said.

HAmorous

There is a choice that in negotiations will be in agreement with new negotiations later, after the start of the cold weather, which will lead to freezing in front of all the senses around October, written by -set.

“If Putin could get the cities of Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka and Kupyansk at that time, then he would be given a position for re -revolt and reorganization of forces. Then Russia could continue fighting in 2026,” Welsh said.

In addition, the journalist believes that Putin could raise the question to hold the president’s election in Ukraine, temporarily destroying the war – to try to ask Vladimir Zelensky’s legitimacy.

Ukraine is fighting for another two years With West support

Military assistance in the United States and Europe should help KYIV reduce temporary territorial losses in the coming months and force Putin to look for negotiations – because Russian conquerors will not achieve their goals again, the material said.

“Pokrovsk may fall, and other evidence in the east of Ukraine may be at risk, but Ukraine may see a slowing down Russian offensive, as before, and the Kremlin may feel the consequences of penalties and over -warming economy,” Walsh believes.

Moreover, as the journalist’s note, Europe has already developed detailed plans for the expansion of “guarantee forces” in Ukraine.

“Nato European troops are located around Kyiv and other big cities, providing Ukraine with the help of logistics and intelligence in the process of restoring and creating a sufficient restraint so Moscow has decided to leave the front line in the current state. This is the best option that Ukraine can expect,” Welsh wrote.

Defeat of Ukraine and the west

Putin could put cracks in West unity-after a possible meeting with Trump, which would improve American-Russian relationships, but could leave Ukraine on their own devices.

“Europe could do everything possible to support Kyiv, but without American support it would not be able to conquer the situation. Putin could see how little success in eastern Ukraine would have been a slow defeat of Ukrainian troops in a simple, open area Between Donbass and Dnieper, Zaporozhye, Kiev,” Walsh believes.

European countries believe that it is better to fight Russia in Ukraine than the late EU, the note of the set.

“But European leaders eventually have no political mandate to participate in the war for the land in Ukraine. Putin is moving forward. NATO cannot provide a single answer. It is a nightmare for Europe, but the end of Sovereign Ukraine,” he wrote.

PRussia’s Rusion

“Russia can continue to make mistakes, loss of thousands of soldiers each week, receiving relatively small benefits and observing how the penalties distract its unity in China and revenue from India. The financial reserves of Moscow’s Sovereign funds can be reduced, and income,” Wellsh guess.

Bukod dito, naniniwala ang mamamahayag, na may ganitong senaryo, si Pangulong Trump ay magiging isang “pilay na pato” (isang idyoma ng Amerikano, na nangangahulugang ang patakaran na kung saan ang awtoridad, impluwensya o pagiging epektibo ay makabuluhang nabawasan), at, pagkatapos ng intermediate na halalan sa Kongreso, ang pansin ng US ay babalik sa tradisyunal na pamantayan ng patakaran sa dayuhan, na kung saan ay binubuo sa paghaharap ng Russian Federation at its ally of china.

“In this situation, the Kremlin could find the moment if its resistance to the prohibition of reality and economic difficulties of its own people would be toxic,” Welsh wrote.

Such incorrect political calculations eventually led the Afghanistan to the Soviet Union in another war of their own choice. The moments of Kremlin’s unexpected weakness appeared in the war in Ukraine, when PMC leader Wagner Evgeny Prigozhin, apparently, accidentally leads a short -term capital to the capital, the journalist believes.

However, according to Wellsh, the problem of this situation remains the best hope of western politicians who cannot allow the full entry of NATO countries to the war to help Ukraine’s win, or Kyiv’s ability to push the Russian army with military means.

“None of the choices are good for Ukraine. One of them means Russia’s actual defeat as a military power and European security threat. And none of them could have emerged as a result of Trump’s meeting with Putin only-no Ukraine who eventually became part of any agreement,” the journalist completed.