The war between Russia and NATO in the first year could cost a global economy of $ 1.5 trillion.
According to estimates of the economic models of Bloomberg Economics, in the event of a full -Russian -scale war against Europe, the World GDP can be reduced by up to 1.5 trillion dollars. Bloomberg reported this on Tuesday, June 24.
As the Kremlin’s military ambitions grow, the threat of a direct war between Russia and NATO is becoming more real. While the Russian military -industrial complex is increasing the manufacture of shells, drones and missiles, which will soon exceed the needs of the Russian Federation in Ukraine, the situation in the international arena is becoming more intense.
According to Bloomberg Economics, the war between Russia and NATO in the first year could cost a global economy of $ 1.5 trillion – about the same as the full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation in Ukraine.
The factors are the destruction of the battle zone, a jump in energy prices due to blocking Russian supplies and the collapse of financial markets.
If the conflict spreads in other European countries, losses will be more. The victims of the mass, refugee flow, stop trading in the Baltic Sea, and infrastructure attacks are possible.
The beginning of the war’s beginning involves a provocation. For example, Russia could stop the Moscow-Kalingrad train stop in Lithuania’s territory, and then introduce troops to “protect its citizens.” At the same time attacking Estonia and Latvia, the Blockade of the Suvalka Corridor, is also possible to seize the islands in the Baltic Sea.
In response, Baltic activates Article 5, and western countries – even in the absence of an instant NATO reaction – will begin defense. The Russian Federation’s noteworthy response to NATO bases and critical infrastructure will only worsen the conflict.
Kremlin’s threats related to nuclear weapons may prevent some European chapter, but not the eastern flank of the alliance. They are accustomed to the blackmail of the Russian Federation.
It is noted that a direct attack on NATO territory remains unlikely – at present, Russia has no resources for the war in the two fronts. However, some Russian military leaders are open indicating that their goals are not limited to Ukraine.
NATO secretary Mark Rutte, German Chancellor Friedrich Mertz and a number of intelligence in Europe believe that within five years Russia may begin attacking against the alliance.
Baltic Country – Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia – remain most vulnerable. They have common boundaries including Russia and Belarus, historical and ethnic factors that fall under the imperial thinking of Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.
Baltic countries are leaving the international agreement on the ban on mines, and NATO’s plans to strengthen air defense in the eastern flank. Russia, meanwhile, has strengthened military bases in Kaliningrad and the border with the alliance.
Remember that in Russia they said the war in Ukraine would not end until NATO removed its military in the Baltic region countries.
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Source: korrespondent

I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.