Although European countries invest much more in their protection than before a major invasion of the Russian Federation in Ukraine in 2022, this will not necessarily lead to the desired growth of military potential by 2030.
This conclusion was made by the authors of the study of the King World Economy and the Bruegel Analytical Economic Center, the results of which were presented today, June 20, in Brussels, DW reports.
It should be noted that this study is an updated version of a similar report from September 2024, the conclusion that Europe will be ready to fight for only several decades.
If by 2030 Europe seeks to be ready for war, then the situation is even more worried, ”the institute will say in a press release.
Experts came to the conclusions by analyzing the data of the king of military procurement – a resource that systematically controls the volume of military production of the Russian Federation in parallel with the military orders of Germany, Great Britain, Poland and France from 2020 to 2025. It provides that :: Great Britain, Poland and France from 2020 to 2025. It provides that: Great Britain, Poland and France from 2020 to 2025.
- Over the past three years, the military capabilities of the Russian Federation have increased quantitatively and efficiently. In connection with this threat, European countries increased their defense costs on average from 1.4% to more than 2% of GDP, and it is expected that these figures will increase;
- However, despite the increase in defense costs in Europe, Russia continues to be ahead of it in the number of weapons. Thus, European defense production should increase by about five times to “persuade the scales in favor of Europe”, and the purchase of weapons should be accelerated and carried out in the early stages;
- Against positive trends – the growth of European production of artillery shells and howitzers, which is currently “almost meets the requirements for the reliable autonomous restraint of Russia.” Today, various European manufacturers produce millions of artillery shells and more than 400 howitzers per year, which “is a significant increase compared to 168 howitzers per year in 2022”;
- However, the production of tanks, BMP, missiles and combat aircraft remains much lower than the required level. The production of tanks and BMP in Europe should increase six times to correspond to the pace of re -equipment of the Russian Federation. In addition, in order to strengthen its ability to restrain himself, Europe should “urgently expand the production of rockets.”
Among the facts that weaken the protection of Europe:
- significant dependence on the United States in the field of advanced weapons; The domestic production of high -quality systems is still limited on average, much more expensive than their international colleagues.
- The authors of research advise manufacturers to focus on new technologies that have proven effectiveness on the battlefield in Ukraine. For this, Europe must increase funding for defense research.
Currently, European countries are investing about 13 billion euros per year in this area, which is a small amount compared to $ 145 billion spent.
Source: Deutsche Welle
Estonian Kopette ROV on the border of the Russian Federation and plans for garbage tanks (photo, video)
Source: Racurs

I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.