The offensive of the Russian Federation’s day will return to the screenplay of 2024, which is dedicated to Donbass, but will affect at least three more places.
The Russian army is preparing for a large -scale that is offensive to the Tag -hot, foreign publications and experts warned. The blow, according to their forecasts, can start in June.
The first attempts of land operations were probably preceded by a missile attack campaign. Read more about forecasts – read on the outline.
What are the places under the threat
German expert Niko Lange told Bild that Russia could start a new big -scale that was offensive to Ukraine in June. At risk, he said, will be three places – Kharkov, Sumy and Dnepropetrovskaya.
The expert’s note that the Kremlin has long planned this offensive, “starting now”, despite talking about peace negotiations. According to the expert, the Russian dictator “never had a goal to end a Truce.”
Today, May 30, Stanislav Bununov, known under the Call Sign of Osman, Junior Sergeant, Commander of the 24th Assault Battalion Aidar, on his telelegram channel, sniper+ slightly confirms the forecast of Langa.
According to the military, along with the entire border line of the Dnipropetrovsk region, the sun -day Russians soaked their units with reserves and conducting ongoing work attacks. In most cases, they try to make “punctures” in the defense line, after which they expand. From the Southern Flank they actively try to go to Komar and Alekseevka, Osman’s note.
“The front moves from the village to the village, because there are no defensive lines in the forest belts,” he added.
Note that political analyst Vadim Denisenko also believes that during the time offering, Putin plans to reach the right bank of Dnieper.
How can events develop
The financial times warned that the first phase of activating the terrestrial operations of the Russians would be accompanied by large wind strikes in Ukraine. The main indicator of readiness: Russia now produces more missiles than it uses, which accumulates the potential for strong blows.
Defense of the Defense, head of the New Geopolitics Research Network Platform, Mikhail Samus said the current offensive in Tag -heat would be a repeat of the 2024 campaign, but with some changes in conditions and efficiency, especially due to the growth and support of Ukraine from the West.
“Russia’s offensive is a full copy of 2024. The only difference is that after invading the Ukrainians near Kursk, Russian troops became more difficult to act in Kharkov, Sumy and Chernihiv regions,” said the expert in a Ukrinform interview.
According to the expert, such as last year, the Kremlin attacks the northern regions of Ukraine to interfere with and drain the defense forces. At the same time, the main goal of the aggression remains unchanged – Donbass’s complete work. Therefore, the primary effort of the enemy is concentrated near Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, Slavyansk and five.
In his opinion, the enemy’s progress across the region or directed by Kharkov is ineffective and very expensive. The maximum managed by the enemy to achieve is a slight progress by several kilometers without strategic or political impact.
Pessimistic and optimistic situations
The New York Times writes that Kremlin’s offensive -warming is ongoing. Publication with a reference to military analysts records that the Russian army began an attempt to break in May.
Russians use a winter winter to create technology reserves, improve communication in battle and improve tactics and technical capabilities of drums.
Some Western analysts say Putin could use the Tag -day period to maximize his power in negotiations before giving more weight to next year’s negotiations.
“Russia is used to the idea of fighting and talking at the same time,” said Samuel Charap, a senior political scientist from Washington, who specializes in Russia in the Rand Corporation.
Despite some local success in the front, Russia’s growth speed will remain slow, and few analysts hope it will achieve a decisive success this Tag -Heart, which will change the course of war, increases the publication.
At the same time, the US Analytical Center Atlantic Council believes that if the West does not take quick steps by sending military aid by strengthening penalties and not confirming their long -term obligations to Ukrain, then Russians will distract Ukrainian military efforts.
“The current movement of Russian troops and the battlefield dynamics suggests that the future of the offshore -warming can be one of the biggest and most controversial in the whole war,” experts in the center said.
In the case of success, as predicted, this campaign may allow Russian troops to advance the front line for about ten -ten kilometers deep in the territory held by Ukraine and occupy parts of the Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporizhzhya regions and Dnepropetrovsk regions. The cities of Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk and Kramatorsk are on the list of possible targets.
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Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.