The cost of active temporary EU protection registration will decrease by 4.1 million by the end of 2025 and to 3.8 million by the end of 2026.
Currently, there are no signs of a strong world in Ukraine, but the gradual return of refugees will begin this year. This is the European Commission’s forecast.
According to the EC, the number of temporary EU protection recipients was about 4.3 million people in January 2025.
It is expected that the number of active registrations of temporary EU protection will remain generally stable within 2025, and then lower 4.1 million by the end of 2025 and to 3.8 million by the end of 2026.
The EC’s note that labor growth from 2022 to 2024, mainly due to the flow of refugees from Ukraine, will likely stop by 2025 and 2026, as the natural reduction of population will continue in 2026.
According to the forecast, the consequences of the economy of the Russian War against Ukraine remains extremely vague and certainly dependent on its development. The main scenario provides that geopolitical stress in the region and sanctions against Russia will remain throughout the forecast horizon (until the end of 2026).
The EC believes that a strong peace agreement that provides sufficient guarantee to Ukraine and the EU remains unbearable.
Remember that the status of temporary protection in EU countries (until March 31) is more than 4.26 million people leaving Ukraine as a result of a full -scale invasion of Russia – it’s 45.4 thousand less than this in February.
New Incentive: Ukrainians will pay significant funds for EU home
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Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.