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Analysts calculated how much Russia’s attack would be “cost”

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Experts reviewed the script according to which the Russian Federation would “return” for a new war in a few years, and the United States would not help the EU.

Europe needs to mobilize 300 thousand soldiers and provide annual investment of 250 billion euros to protect Russia. This situation is possible provided that the Russian Federation can attack it after 3-10 years, and the United States will not provide assistance. This is stated in the analytical certificate “European protection without the United States”: the first assessment of what is needed, prepared by the Kili Institute of the World Economy and the Brugegel Research Institute, was released on Friday, February 21.

Analysts estimate the costs of Russian military counteracting force of nearly 250 billion euros per year. Those with the analysis suggest that Europe had to deploy nearly 50 additional brigades with a total of 300 thousand soldiers. This will require at least 1,400 new major tanks and 2000 BMP, which exceeds the current reserves of all the land forces of Germany, France, Italy and Great Britain combined. Europe will produce nearly 2,000 long drones per year.

Experts believe that “in economic terms, it can be dealt with in consideration of EU’s economic power, with additional costs, which will be equivalent to only about 1.5 percent of only gross domestic product of EU. ”

Those who have set the publication have emphasized that Russia has significantly increased its military potential, despite major war losses in Ukraine. By the end of 2024, Russia, according to their estimates, had nearly 700 thousand soldiers in Ukraine, which was more than an interference time in 2022. In 2024, approximately 1550 new tanks and 5700 armored vehicles were manufactured, which is 220% and 150%, respectively, more than 2022. Russia also achieved significant development in the manufacture of drones and a large radius of action.

In theory, Russia can attack EU countries in the next 3-10 years. And this should be “classified as a real danger,” the analysts believe.

“This is another factor in why, in the interests of Europe, to prevent Russia in Ukraine, which could further stimulate Russia’s invasion,” said the set.

According to the review, one of the biggest problems and challenges remains military coordination within Europe. While the US Armed Forces acts as a single Corps, European troops are distributed to 28 national armed forces.

The authors of the review suggest to increase European defense costs from current 2% to 3.5-4% of GDP per year. Half of this “budget” can be funded at the cost of general debt in Europe and use for joint extraction. The other half may be funded by member states due to costs for national defense.

Earlier, the UNITED NATO commander in Europe, General Christopher Kavoli, said Russia still had no military potential for a rapid attack in Ukraine, as there were problems with Lakas -tao.

In Germany, the terms of the possible attack by the Russian Federation in Europe were predicted

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Source: korrespondent

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