For the first time since August, US Republican candidate Donald Trump took the lead in the election race. True, this is not indicated by a survey, but by the bookmaker market, where users bet money on the victory of one of the candidates.
The main impetus comes from the Polymarket platform. At the beginning of this week, Trump’s chances of winning were 53.3%, Harris – 46.1%. The day before, just a few hours later, Trump’s rating increased by almost 3%. At the same time, in recent days there have been no noticeable events that could radically change the course of the election race.
According to Forbes, statements by the richest man in the world, Elon Musk, who supported the Republican during a speech in Butler last weekend, may be behind the sharp jump in bets on Trump. In addition, one of the users under the nickname Fredi9999 placed a bet on Trump of $4 million. Unlike other platforms, Polymarket has no upper limits on the amount that can be bet.
Be that as it may, on average in all US public opinion polls, Harris is still ahead of Trump by 2%. This indicator has remained virtually unchanged for more than a month.
Less than a month before the US presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris’ national approval rating is 49% to Trump’s 46%, up from 47% in a September poll by The New York Times and Siena College.
Also, 9% of Republican Party voters said they support Harris, while previously there were only 5%.
The NYT/Siena College poll found that 46% of voters see Harris as a “change-maker” candidate, compared to 44% for Trump.
In previous polls, the majority named Trump as the candidate who would bring change.
The difference on this issue is especially large in Harris’s favor among non-white voters – 61% versus 29% for Trump. Young voters also prefer Harris, 58% to 34%.
American voters also consider Harris more honest and trustworthy than Trump by a wide margin.
Trump still outranks Harris as a “strong leader” by a small margin and is also highly trusted to handle the economy. It is the economy that worries Americans most, with abortion and migration in second and third positions.
Source: Racurs
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.