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ISW assessed the possibility of mobilization in the Russian Federation

Photo: Sotsmerezhi (pictured)

Putin did not take advantage of the entry of Ukrainian troops into the Kursk region as an opportunity to prepare Russian society for mobilization.

Mobilization in Russia remains unlikely in the short to medium term, with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin fearing it would be a direct threat to his regime’s stability, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said.

ISW analysts analyzed the message about the possibility of Russia announcing another wave of mobilization before Putin’s inauguration and after the start of the operation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region in August 2024 and concluded that the so-called leader of the Kremlin would not but allow such a move.

It was noted that the Russian opposition newspaper Meduza recently reported that sources close to the Russian government said that the Kremlin was considering the idea of ​​mobilizing immediately after the Kursk operation. But the Russian government and Kremlin-linked businessmen have opposed this line of thinking.

In addition, Putin has consistently signaled throughout the Ukrainian Armed Forces operation in the Kursk region his commitment to recruiting volunteers, boasting of the number of recruits interested in fighting in Ukraine. Also, in response to the actions of Ukrainian forces, the Russian dictator personally met with Russian volunteers.

As the ISW report notes, Putin did not use the entry of Ukrainian troops into the Kursk region as an opportunity to prepare Russian society for mobilization in the short and medium term. Instead, he decided to form new irregulars and expand efforts to recruit Russian volunteers.

As ISW analysts note, the Kremlin and the Russian Ministry of Defense surprised Russian society more when they announced the partial mobilization at the end of September 2022. And apparently, Putin now seeks to avoid a negative reaction from society in response to a new wave of mobilization.

We remind you that the State Duma rejected the bill on deferment from mobilization for parents with many children. One of the reasons for rejecting the postponement in Russia is the risk of “reduction in reserve personnel.”

Earlier, the media wrote that the Russian Federation will be forced to announce another wave of mobilization before the end of 2024, despite the fact that its numbers are now greater than Ukraine’s.


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Source: korrespondent

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