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ISW assessed the situation in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation

Photo: Sotsmerezhi

The Kremlin would be forced to reallocate resources to protect the state border, sacrificing the effectiveness of military operations in Ukraine.

The operation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region and subsequent possible Ukrainian invasions will force the Kremlin to redistribute resources to protect the state border, sacrificing the effectiveness of military operations in Ukraine. This was reported by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

It was noted that before the invasion of the Kursk region, the Russian authorities saw their border state as a “sleeping front,” which provided an opportunity for greater flexibility in the accumulation and use of resources in Ukraine. Now it will be forced to reconsider its attitude, expenditure of manpower and equipment to protect the border. This could impose long-term constraints on operational planning that Russia has never experienced before.

According to ISW analysts, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin did not assess past Ukrainian cross-border operations on Russian territory as constituting medium and long-term threats to Russian territory. However, the current Ukrainian aggression poses a serious threat to Russian military operations in Ukraine and to the stability of the Putin regime and requires a response.

Poorly equipped and manned border fortifications are reportedly insufficient to prevent the Ukrainian Armed Forces from moving, and Russian military commanders are likely to decide that more resources must be spent.

“This conclusion reduces the flexibility that Russia enjoys in mobilizing manpower and materiel for its ongoing offensive efforts in Ukraine, and Russian military commanders need to consider the requirements in border defense when determining what resources it can devote to future large-scale offensive and defense efforts in Ukraine,” ISW said.

Let’s remember that Russia admitted that Ukrainian troops advanced on its territory for at least 30 km. It marks Ukraine’s deepest and most significant advance since the fall 2022 counteroffensive.

Kursk region attack: Bundestag believes Putin has lost control


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Source: korrespondent

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