The invaders are no longer storming the city with “waves of meat”, but have switched to more cunning action, the military said.
The Russian army, after four months of heavy fighting, broke through the defenses of Avdiivka and moved near the main road where the Ukrainian garrison was receiving supplies. Our defenders say that the enemy has begun to use new tactics, and the situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is complicated by shell hunger.
Change of tactics
The commander of the 47th separate mechanized brigade, Dmitry Ryumshin, said that now the Russians are not breaking into Avdeevka with “meat attacks,” but are attacking in smaller groups with support from in the sky.
According to him, the Storm-Z and Storm-V squads are advancing on the city.
“As long as we have forces and means, the enemy will not be able to surround Avdievka. Now they are no longer trying to throw “meat waves”, because they no longer have “meat waves”. They periodically try to check our defenses with small attack groups, before that they were working with aviation. Our soldiers stood firmly in their positions, “said Rumshin.
The enemy wants an operational encirclement of Avdeevka, added Dmitry Likhovoy, spokesman of the Tauride Defense Forces. Therefore, today the Russian army began to abandon the tactics of small groups of infantry, and increasingly uses armored vehicles, tanks and infantry fighting vehicles.
At the same time, he said, the front line is moving in both directions.
“The situation is dynamic. We see the enemy’s intentions, we see where he wants to advance to cut off the logistics supply artery at Avdievka and ensure operational encirclement. The contact line does not move in one direction, as it might some. think,” said Likhovoy.
Avdeevka – the first victim of shell famine?
The Ukrainian military public Deep State said the invaders advanced north and south of the city on Saturday and Sunday.
Deep State
Moreover, only one kilometer remains to block the route through which ammunition and ammunition are delivered to the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Avdiivka, while this road is actively shot, added the veteran and military expert of the ATO Evgeniy Diky.
According to him, if the enemy really blocks this route, the Ukrainian military will be forced to leave Koksokhim so that the history of Mariupol will not be repeated. Such a situation, as Dikiy fears, may arise in the near future. The situation of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is aggravated by the lack of shells, he added.
Now Ukrainian guns lack three main calibers at once: 152 mm, 155 mm and 120 mm, and therefore Avdiivka can become “the first victim of a shell famine.”
“All the important artillery of the West, which helped so much to destroy the invaders, is now being removed from Avdeevka, because there is no ammunition for it. Keeping these guns and risking them without two or three shots a day from these guns are not worth setting them as bait for Russian “lancets”, the ATO veteran told Focus.
pessimistic forecast
BILD expert on open data analysis Julian Repke supports Dikiy’s position and believes that the Russians are actively moving into the city in two directions and have weeks left before Avdeevka is surrounded.
The situation in the middle of the populated area is especially dangerous, he said, where the Russian army is about 200 meters away from one of the last supply routes for the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The analyst explained that there is another road to Avdeevka near the village of Severnoye, but even there the Russian Federation is “hundreds of meters away.”
“If these routes are cut, the city will be surrounded and fall. This is not yet the case, but some speculate that it is days or even weeks away,” Roepke said.
The expert says that the invaders are making progress in this area because of their quantitative advantage – now it is about five to one. In addition, the Russian army had the advantage in the air, so the city was constantly bombarded with high-explosive bombs FAB-500, FAB-1000 and FAB-1500.
At the same time, according to BILD, Ukraine does not have a sufficient air defense system to repel these attacks.
“The Armed Forces of Ukraine do not have enough soldiers on the ground, so the drones themselves often act against advancing groups of Russian infantry,” added Repke.
New powers
At the same time, Forbes wrote that there are good reasons to believe that the Ukrainian command sent one of the best brigades of the Ukrainian army – the 3rd Airborne Assault Brigade – to save Avdiivka.
“This is the only Ukrainian ground combat brigade we know for sure that was deployed in eastern Ukraine last week,” the publication wrote.
Journalists believe that the issue of strengthening Avdiivka was decided in advance.
“Obviously, by deciding to stay and fight, Ukrainian troops are taking a big risk,” the media summed up.
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Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.