The Russian army will be able to conduct offensive operations in Ukraine at the beginning of 2024.
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It will be easier for the occupiers to storm the positions of the Ukrainian Defense Forces, in particular around Avdiivka in the Donetsk region, when frost sets in at the end of January and February and the ground becomes hard. This was stated by US National Security Council spokesman John Kirby, according to a report by the American Institute of Warfare (ISW).
According to experts, since 2014, the autumn mud season has interfered with ground maneuvers of both Ukrainian and Russian forces. At the same time, periods of prolonged frost, usually beginning in late December, freeze the ground and allow armored vehicles to move more easily than in the fall and spring.
At the same time, ISW notes that now the weather in Ukraine is constantly changing. The frosty period may come later than expected, or not at all. This leaves little time for maneuver warfare involving armored vehicles.
The report notes that the Russian occupation army began localized offensive operations along the entire front line in Eastern Ukraine during the most difficult weather of the autumn-winter season. The enemy is trying to seize and maintain the initiative, rather than wait for severe frosts.
Russian forces will likely try to maintain or strengthen these offensive operations regardless of weather conditions this winter, as they did in the winter of 2022-2023, ISW believes.
Let us remind you that Russia recently strengthened its military group on the territory of Belarus. ISW reported that the Belarusian armed forces, with the support of the Russian military command, deployed several battalions and tactical groups in two regions of the country.
Source: Racurs
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.