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The war with Israel: does it affect aid to Ukraine?

The war with Israel: does it affect aid to Ukraine?

Photo: Atlantic Council

Will Hamas’ attack on Israel have consequences for military aid to Ukraine? Read the story.

The latest escalation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has dominated world news since last week, distracting the world from the war that has been raging in Ukraine since February of last year. Therefore, the question arises how this will affect military support for Kyiv in the future. Let’s try to find out how the foreign media perceives this situation.

agency of Turkey Anatolia published comments from several experts on its material. In particular, Simon Schlegel, a senior analyst at the International Crisis Group in Ukraine, believes that the impact of the conflict with Israel on the Russian-Ukrainian war depends on its duration and how far it can spread.

“If this becomes a long-term conflict in the region, resource constraints on Ukraine may increase over time. If it remains localized to the Gaza Strip, its influence will be limited,” he said.

Regarding the transfer of US military support from Ukraine, Schlegel noted that Washington has enough resources to support Israel and Kyiv in the short term.

Joseph Dresen, a senior program fellow at the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Kennan Institute, added that the most likely effect of Israel’s war on Ukraine is to “keep this issue out of the headlines for a while.” He said the Biden administration and Europe will focus on both conflicts.

“If, as a result of a long conflict between Israel and Palestine, the United States is forced to stop military support for Ukraine… the consequences will not be earlier than next summer. A short conflict will not change anything, “another expert , Oleg Ignatov, senior analyst for Russia at the International Crisis Agency, supported Drezen’s opinion groups.

American newspaper The New York Times referring to the Ukrainian military, also came to the conclusion that short-term military operations in Gaza and Israel will not affect military aid to Kyiv.

“But if the situation continues, it is clear that there will be some problems with the fact that not only Ukraine will have to provide weapons and ammunition,” journalists quoted the head of the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate, Kirill Budanov, as saying.

“The faster the Israel Defense Forces defeat Hamas, the less attention and resources of the free world will be diverted from Ukraine,” added the head of the First Volunteer Mobile Hospital named after Nikolai Pirogov, Gennady Druzenko.

The New York Times also notes that future military aid to Ukraine from the United States, Kiev’s single most important supplier of arms and ammunition, is shrouded in new questions as Congress remains leaderless and the Skepticism about the aid is growing among some Republicans.

British agency Reuters also brought this issue to the fore, instead of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Journalists believe that without the Speaker of Congress, spending bills cannot be voted on, tying the hands of the Biden administration and the Pentagon.

Ukraine’s main needs are ammunition, missile defense systems and ground vehicles, while Israel, on the other hand, does not use this military equipment in such quantities, the agency added.

Both countries, including Taiwan, could benefit if Congress approves funding for increased military production capacity. Such a move would reduce concerns about possible depletion of American military stocks. Both relief programs could be included in a larger spending bill that Congress must approve later this year to allow the federal government to continue operating.

In the article The Washington Post there is also the consolidation of the problems of Israel, Ukraine and even Taiwan. It was a reference to Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell, who floated the idea that Congress should pass a major emergency defense spending bill covering all three countries within the next few weeks.

Criticism has been cited from skeptics in the far-right Republican Party, who believe that sending US ammunition stockpiles from Israel to Ukraine is a bad idea. This aspect was immediately refuted by the fact that the US rebuilt its stockpile with South Korean artillery and increased production. Moreover, Kyiv does not demand the types of weapons that Israel needs. Although the Western media highlights the similarities between the two wars through a political lens, from a military perspective they are two different conflicts with different ways of addressing them.

There was also a discussion of Russian propaganda trying to make it seem like President Biden had to choose between two states. The Russian government has not condemned the terrorist attacks by Hamas. The Kremlin claims that Ukraine sent weapons to Hamas, while Kyiv claims that Hamas received captured Ukrainian weapons from Moscow. Iran’s role in both conflicts is also highlighted – it provides the Russian Federation with drones to kill Ukrainian civilians and also helps increase their use by militants.

According to the author of the article, the US plan of action for Ukraine and Israel is essentially the same. They must support partner countries that have been victims of aggression: give them the weapons they need to fight back and create a diplomatic coalition around them. Isolationists in the Republican Party like to pretend that the United States can counter aggression in one place by attacking another. However, this is an unwise and wrong choice.

Victor Kovalchuk, specialist in international issues at the research company Sotsiopolis and Olesya Krasnolutskaya

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Source: korrespondent

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