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Why the hypothesis of 4 billion people by the end of the century is not very credible

What would happen if the human population halved by the end of the century? This thesis is supported by three economists in a study published by HSBC Bank on July 12, which was accepted The reactions . Contrary to UN projections, which in turn predict a near-constant increase to 8.8 billion people by 2100, James Pomeroy, Harald van der Linde and Prna Garg estimate that the likelihood of a sharp decline in births is actually “much higherthan the international organization would like to believe.

Among the various potential curves identified by the UN in its latest projections for 2022, an average estimate of “By the 2080s, the world’s population could reach 10 billion people“, and then stabilize to achieve “10.4 billion in 2100“. Economists, on the other hand, expect a much earlier peak in 2043, then a decline to a slightly higher number…

Source: Le Figaro

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