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SpaceX: Starship’s first orbital flight only has a 50% chance of success, Elon Musk says

Elon Musk says there is only a 50% chance of success for the first orbital flight of Starship, SpaceX’s new ship | Fountain: SpaceX

SpaceX It would be difficult for the first orbital flight of his ship starship according to its founder and CEO himself. Elon Musk He noted that the probability of success of an important mission beyond our planet for the new car of the company is almost equal to the drawing of lots.

“I’m not saying it will reach orbit, but I guarantee excitement. Therefore, it will not be boring!pointed out the mogul during an interview he gave in Morgan Stanley Conference last March 7th. First orbital flight starshipgiant spaceship that SpaceX being developed will be launched from the company’s South Texas plant in April, according to its chief executive officer.

coin toss

starshipvehicle with which SpaceX intends to deliver people and cargo to the Moon and Mars in addition to other space flights in the coming years, development continues. This massive stainless steel ship promises to be the most powerful rocket ever launched, with 2.5 times more thrust than the iconic rocket. Saturn V belonging POTin accordance with Elon Musk.

Another of the most promising features of this vehicle is that it is designed to be quickly reusable, which the tycoon sees as essential to the viability of Mars colonization and other space exploration missions. The company is currently building several starship at his facility in South Texas (starbase) and is scheduled to launch sequentially in the coming months.

“I think we have an 80% chance of going into orbit this year. It will probably take another couple of years to achieve full and rapid reuse.”indicated Musk in the above interview.

Cool head for SpaceX and its promising starship

Although somewhat discouraging information about the probability of success of the first orbital flight starship To Muskno wonder the businessman wants to temper expectations for the spacecraft’s orbital debut, as many times they tend to fail, as seen in early March with the new Rocket H3 Japan and in January PC1 from ABL space system.

Actually, Musk already trained space exploration enthusiasts before, when Falcon Heavy from SpaceX made its first takeoff attempt in February 2018. “I hope he gets far enough away from the platform not to cause harm. To be honest, I would even consider it a victory.”the tycoon declared despite the fact that, fortunately, this operation was successful.

However, it is important to emphasize that Falcon Heavy This is a variant of the already installed Falcon 9 from SpaceXone of his most recognizable cars, so success in his first takeoff is no big deal. starshipfor its part, is more sophisticated and innovative as it uses 33 new generation Raptor engines from SpaceX on his first superheavy rung and six of them on the top rung.

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Source: RPP

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