Ivan Lanegra: “In the coming days, there is a high probability that the level of social conflict will increase”

Yesterday Saturday mobilization convened by various unions and social federations in Lima, ended with a new clashes with the police and several injured civilians taken to medical centers such as the Grau Emergency Hospital.

Despite this, several civil society organizations have already called for new days of protest, for example, UKPG who announced national strike next Feb 9th. For its part, Congress, with just 5 days left in the legislature, continues to fail to reach consensus on moving forward with a general election.

With this panorama, the secretary general of Transparency, Ivan lanegrain dialogue with RPP newspointed out that there high probability that in the coming days the socio-political conflict will continue to escalate.

“The level of conflict may increase. This is always possible until the problems that caused the conflict are resolved. The situation arises from a set of situations, and if they are not resolved, there will be conditions for its further growth. , – he said. News extension.

In accordance with black lanethis increase in conflict comes from the fact that more and more public organizations join the mobilization, which initially did not participate in the protests, because “Tune”with the requirements that are generated along the way.

“We have the misconception that conflicts staticthat arise under certain slogans, slogans. But this is changing because new situations and new elements are added that are ultimately consonant with other actors who did not participate in the protest, but are added because the negative dynamics of mismanagement encourage height conflict,” he said.

According to the political scientist, the responsibility for the increase in the level of conflict lies with the main political actors, Executive And Legislativewhich cannot provide a viable solution to the crisis.

“I think that this is the situation now, with the likelihood that the behavior Congress And Executive eventually add more elements so that other people from other flags join in the malaise,” he said.

“There is a majority in Congress that does not want early elections”

Regarding the lack of consensus on parliament determine the course of the general election, Ivan lanegra He believed there was a majority in Congress “who don’t want early elections.”

“It seems clear to me that most Congress that he does not want to move the elections forward and this was noticed during the voting. There were different formulas, almost all possible options were voted. However, when the time comes, the yes votes are always very similar. There is a group of congressmen who are ready to vote yes, even for options they are not entirely sure about. But there are other actors who, no matter what formula you propose, their vote will still be negative,” he said.

In this regard, he pointed out that it was not a matter of “lack of legal formulas” regarding the promotion of said elections, but rather the lack of “political will”.

“It is not a problem of the absence of legal options, there are always legal options and options (…) The problem lies in the political will, the actors do not seem to undercut his mandate. When that happens, whatever formula they put on the table will still be rejected,” he said.

He also pointed out that social conflict it will remain in place until political solutions are considered in the face of a crisis “that requires a political response”.

“It doesn’t matter that political actors refuse to act in the face of conflict, because it will continue. And this is a conflict that, due to its peculiarities, is not very structured. Rather, it is like a set of waves that form and when they explode, they become visible. And this is a very difficult process to handle with the help of the mechanisms that the state has,” he said.

On the other hand, he viewed the president’s resignation as a constitutional decision. Dina Boluarte though, according to him, such a possibility could give rise to “new uncertainties”.

“Another path established by the Constitution to advance the elections is the departure of the president of the republic. But this option creates a set of new uncertainties that also bring problems,” he said.

“I hope that in the remaining days all this complexity will be taken into account and measures will be taken in the near future, because the situation may worsen,” he added.