Oscars 2023: trends of the season and the main favorites of the Oscars

SAG Awards (known as Awards Screen Actors Guild) have already announced their winners and are the last major awards ceremony before the Oscars 2023. With this result and the results of previous gala concerts such as Golden Globe, Baft, or Critics’ Choicewe can catch a glimpse of the trend of eventual favorites to win awards Academy.

Oscar 2023 will take place on March 12 at the Dolby Theater in Los Angeles. This edition will be hosted by Jimmy Kimmel at the 2022 Film Gala. “Everything, everywhere, all at once” leads the way in award nominations. Oscar 2023with 11 categories, and “Banshee of Inisherina” And All Quiet on the Western Front they are followed by nine nominations each.

What can we expect from the new edition of the award Oscar? PTR spoke to some critics and film scholars to find out where the balance of favorites could tip in order to succeed at the awards academy.

Oscar 2023: top favorites

For critic and contributor to the “Entendí Esa Referencia” podcast, Renato Leon, we can now talk about great favorites, highlighting the previous triumph. “Everything is everywhere and at once” in the awards season preceding Oscar 2023.

“The film has already won most of the awards preceding Oscar, such as the Union of Actors, Directors and Producers. It is from the latter, from the Producers, that already gives you a much clearer signal. Of the last 15 winners of these awards, two repeated the dish in Oscaralso because the majority of voters are in this union,” he comments.

For his part, Felix Enrique Garcia, Professor of Audiovisual Communication and Interactive Media at UPC, claims that, based on the results of awarding pre-Oscar How BAFTA, golden globe and others from various movie syndicates, you can get an idea of ​​who might be the favorite; however, it is specified that Oscar they are unpredictable and the results may vary from one ceremony to the next.”

“This year, to mention a few categories, among the favorites Spielberg’s “Fabelmans” and Daniel’s “Everything and Everywhere at Once”. which could win the Best Picture category, although there may be other surprises. As for the Best International Film category, it’s Argentina 1985 by Santiago Miter, which received a very good rating and received very important awards,” he notes.

To understand the importance of season trends Awards before the OscarsGarcia points out that while they are not the same as other awards, some of them are also members of the U.S. Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, which has over 9,000 members working in the film industry. who were invited to join the organization for their achievements in the field of cinema.

“Members are divided into different branches according to their specialization in the film industry, such as actors, directors, producers, writers, costume designers, etc., and each branch selects its candidates, while all members of the academy vote on the definition winners in all categories. As for pre-Oscars awards, some of them are voted on by members of the Academy, such as the Screen Actors Guild Awards and the Directors Guild Awards. While others are voted on by various industry groups and organizations. In general, pre-Oscar voters are not necessarily the same as Oscar voters, however it is possible that some members of the Academy are also members of these groups and organizations and therefore vote for multiple awards,” he adds.

For the journalist and critic Raul Ortiz Mori, Professor at the Faculty of Communications at UCAL, with prizes awarded in SAG Awardscould already mark a very clear path with his favorite film, in relation to “Everything is everywhere and at once” which, according to Ortiz, did not start out as a favorite.

“It’s a good movie, but two of them were in contention for best movie.”Fabelmans” and “All Quiet at the Front”. According to the latest trends, we might note that Daniels’ film could take this category. What I don’t think will change is the Best Actor category. Brendan Fraser. Cate Blanchett also won in BAFTAwhich is a very noticeable trend for Best Actress Actor, where, if it weren’t so unexpected, the award for best director. Steven Spielberg part as a favourite,” he mentions.

Oscar 2023: Best Film

V Golden Globe 2023, “Fabelmans” and “Bashi Inisherina” they received awards for Best Picture in a Drama and Comedy, respectively. V Baft, the panorama changes and All Quiet on the Western Front, a film co-produced by Germany and the USA, received a statuette. From my side, “All Everywhere All At Once” won in this category on Producer’s Guilty Awards, SAG Awards and Critics Choice Awards.

If we see a trendAll Everywhere All At Once” received more awards and could have had a better chance of winning the top award at Oscar 2023. Leon mentions that She’s the big favorite, and she’s the one who feels she’s going to win anyway.

“More than winners, I see trends in certain issues. What the Oscars are worried about right now is to lift audiences that have dwindled over the years. Let’s remember the inclusion of films like Don’t Look Up, which was filmed last year, or in this case this year 2023, “All Everywhere All At Once’. Both are average films that produce more interaction than anything else. If we talk about great films, they are not so great. Also, as I mentioned, the Producers Guild Awards are the harbinger of everything. And there he must win,” he says.

According to Professor Garcia, in recent years, there have been some trends in the types of cinematic proposals that have received the award for the best film, touching on more diverse and socially significant topics.

“For example, we have Parasite, a South Korean film about social inequality that won an award in 2020. Another case is Land of the Nomads, a film about migrant workers and modern nomads, which won in 2021. a trend towards more experimental and less conventional films in terms of structure and style, such as 2019’s Green Book, a 1960s interracial friendship film that won in 2018, The Shape of Water, a fantasy film about a romance between a woman and water creature, won. Another example is last year’s winner, Coda, which stood out more for its story of optimism and self-improvement than for its cinematic offering. However, these trends are no guarantee that any film that lives up to them will win an award. The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences is known for surprising audiences and giving awards to unexpected films.”

Oscars 2023: Best Actor and Actress

In the category “Best Actor”, as in other acting nominations, it seems that the awards given SAG Awards They are the ones who set the trend. This is because Screen Actors Guild voters are among the voters in Oscar 2023. In this category Austin Butler and Brendan Fraser they have the same number of top prizes won prior to the Academy Awards.

Butler won in Golden Globe and Baft Bye fraser took Critics’ Choice Awards And SAG Awards. The fight in which academy can break a tie

A similar case occurs in the nomination “Best Actress”: Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh they have won almost as many trophies in a season. Blanchett for her performance in TÁR. won in the nomination “Drama” Golden Globe, Bafta and Critics’ Choice.

For my part, Yeoh, the star”All Everywhere All At Once”, won in the nomination “Comedy” Golden Globe and SAG Awards. The balance seems to be tipping in favor of the Chinese-born actress who won the Screen Actors Guild Gala.

For Renato Leon film starring Michelle Yeoh, all set to win the award for supporting actors, Ke Hai Kuan and Jamie Lee Curtis. “The lead actress is more controversial as Cate Blanchett won the BAFTA, which is also of the last 10 winners, won 8 Oscars, and Michelle Yeoh won the SAG, which is also of the last 10 winners, 8 won Oscars. It’s very busy here,” he says.

Oscars 2023: Best Supporting Actor and Actress

Ke Hui Quan, from “All Everywhere All At Once”, is the favorite for the Best Supporting Actor award at Oscar 2023. His progress through the awards season resulted in him winning Golden Globe, Critics’ Choice and SAG. V BaftBritish Oscar, lost Barry Keoghanfrom “Banshee of Inisherina”.

In the Best Supporting Actress category, there doesn’t seem to be a favorite yet, despite the fact that Angela Bassettfrom Wakanda Forever won two awards in the season leading up to the 2023 Oscars (Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice). Jamie Lee Curtis from “Everything, Everywhere, All At Once” won the Screen Actors Guild Award, which could play into his hands on the way to the Oscars.

BEST DIRECTOR

There are no favorites in this category. However, Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, director “All Everywhere All At Once”, they won in Directors Guilty Awards and Critics Choice Awards. Its main competitors Steven Spielberg for Fabelmanswho could take his third Oscar in directing.

According to Garcia, in the Best Director category, the winner could be Steven Spielberg, who also won the award (in previous awards) and who could also stand out in his career.

BEST CARTOON

“Pinocchio” Guillermo del Toro is the top pick for Best Animated Feature. Tape won Golden Globe, Bafta, PGA, Critics Choice and Annie, the latest award recognizes excellence in animation.

BEST FOREIGN FILM

In chapter best foreign film the bets are unsafe. Although “Argentina 1985” seemed to be the favorite after the announcement of the nominees in Oscar 2023tape type “All is calm on the western front, also nominated for best film, this may be his biggest competition. Absence “RRR” from India to the nominees could put both in the final fight.

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