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According to the recent results of the Review of Macroeconomic Expectations Central Reserve Bank (BCR).
According to economic analysts, inflation at the end of this year will be 7.5%, while two months ago it was expected to reach only 6%.
This forecast is higher than the one recorded at the end of 2021, when the National Statistical and Informatics Institute (INEI) calculated that inflation closed at 6.43%
For the financial system, the average inflation this year will be 6.8%, and for non-financial companies – 6.5%.
The BCR study also indicates that the level inflation they may not fall to the target range of 1% to 3% in 2023 as expected as analysts and companies predict the price index could settle between 3% and 4.5% next year.
In 2024 alone, inflation will range from 3% to 3.9%, according to those polled by the central bank.
Other predictions
The review of macroeconomic expectations also shows forecasts of GDP and dollar for this and future years.
Relative to GDP, economic agents expect increase this is between 2.7% and 3% for 2022 and in the same range for 2023.
For 2024, it is indicated that economic activity is expected to grow from 2.3% to 3.1%.
In the case of exchange rate expectations, it is indicated that analysts predict that the dollar will close 2022 trading at S / 3.90.
It is expected by the end of 2023. exchange rate is between S/3.88 and S/3.98, while in 2024 it is expected to be quoted between S/3.85 and S/3.98.
Source: RPP
I am Dylan Hudson, a dedicated and experienced journalist in the news industry. I have been working for Buna Times, as an author since 2018. My expertise lies in covering sports sections of the website and providing readers with reliable information on current sporting events.