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The bankers exacerbated the forecast for inflation in Ukraine

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In July, bankers exacerbated the expectations of inflation up to 11.6%. In April, they predicted prices at 9.8% over the next 12 months.

Inflation in Ukraine slowed down somewhat compared to the value of the peak in May. The bankers do not believe it will fall below 10%. This is proven by NBU data.

It was noted that the banks in July worsened the expectations of inflation up to 11.6%. In April, they predicted prices at 9.8% over the next 12 months.

Population inflation expectations worsen in June up to 10.8% compared to 10.2% in May.

At the same time, financial analysts in July improved the forecast by 7.5% compared to 7.9% in May 2025.

In May, leaders of businesses predicted inflation at 10.9% (forecast for February 11.5%).

According to state state service, in June 2025, inflation in Ukraine slowed up to 14.3% in an annual scale compared to 15.9% in May. The main reason is the statistical effect. In June 2024, the government increased electric tariffs for a population by 64%, and this year prices will not change before collapse.

According to the NBU, inflation reached a peak in May and returned to a reduction in June, as was predicted by the NBU. However, general inflation is higher than the April macroeconomic forecast especially due to the influence of weather conditions. It is expected that in the second half of the year the inflation will continue.

Remember that in early June the National Bank of Ukraine announced the “local maximum” of inflation. The regulator admitted that the growth of annual inflation in May has slightly exceeded the “current forecasting trajectory.”

As you know, according to the results of 2024, the rate of inflation in Ukraine reached 12%. In the December consumer market, food prices and soft drinks increased by 1.8%.

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Source: korrespondent

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