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Russia is preparing for a new wave of mobilization – ISW

Photo: Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine

Experts believe that the Kremlin risks further damaging its credibility by announcing a mobilization that has been cautiously denied.

The regime of the dictator Vladimir Putin is probably preparing the Russians to announce a new wave of mobilization for war in Ukraine. However, this would not save the occupying armies. This is the opinion of analysts of the Institute for the Study of War, as they wrote in their report on December 7th.

In their opinion, neither a general mobilization nor even an official declaration of war on Ukraine will help the “second world army”.

The fact is that the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation can simultaneously train no more than 130,000 conscripts during a two-year conscription cycle in peacetime. To efficiently prepare recruits, you need to spend at least three months.

Earlier, the commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, Colonel-General Alexander Syrsky, said that the newly mobilized, now arriving at the front, are more prepared than those sent to the front immediately after Putin’s order for partial mobilization.

Therefore, the success of the mobilization depends on the ability of the RF army command to invest time and resources in its personnel. However, the Russians have no long-term strategic planning.

ISW also recalled that the Kremlin denied preparations for a new wave of mobilization. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov on December 6 called these “provocations” and urged them to be ignored. ISW analysts noted that this statement is likely aimed at discrediting the influence of both the Russian opposition and sources who have learned about the mobilization plans.

Experts believe that the Kremlin risks further damaging its credibility by announcing a mobilization that has been cautiously denied.

Earlier, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine said that, according to available information, preparatory measures are continuing in the Russian Federation and the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine to conduct another wave of covert mobilization in the ranks by Russian occupation forces. . They plan to send them to the war in Ukraine from December 10.

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Source: korrespondent

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