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ISW analyzed the risks of deploying Russian and Belarusian troops for Ukraine

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The Russian Federation may try to use its forces in Belarus to “fix” Ukrainian troops near Kyiv.

Russia and Belarus, which announced the joint deployment of troops – formations designed to protect the Union State, are unlikely to dare to attack Ukraine from the north with them. This was reported by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

It is assumed that the Russian part of any formation of a “regional grouping of troops” will consist of mobilized or conscripts with a low level of training and will not pose a significant threat to Ukraine.

Also, the part may consist of units of the 1st Guards Tank Army, the 20th Combined Arms Army and airborne units that suffered heavy losses in Ukraine and have significantly reduced combat capabilities.

According to military analysts, the Russian Federation may try to use its forces in Belarus to “fix” Ukrainian troops near Kyiv and prevent them from being relocated or participating in a counteroffensive.

According to the ISW, today’s self-proclaimed President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, cannot afford the internal consequences of Belarus’ direct intervention in the war, and the Russian Federation is incapable of quickly developing ground strike forces from starting or from existing units. in Belarus.

It will be remembered that Lukashenka once again said that Ukraine was allegedly planning a strike on Belarus.

He ordered thousands of Russian troops to be stationed in the country.

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Source: korrespondent

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