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ISW predicts that Putin will change the priorities of the war

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The chief of the Kremlin may reorient for more short-term goals due to growing economic and personnel restrictions.

Russia captures fewer and fewer Ukraine territories, but has lost many people and resources. Against the rear of these situations, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin may change the attitude to further offensive operations. This was proven by the Institute’s daily report for the study of war (ISW).

Over the past four months, Russia’s successes have slowed down, but aggressive troops have continued to have a losses of personnel, which are comparable to the losses they suffered in the intensive offensive in September-December 2024, the analysts said.

According to analysts, Russian troops obtained approximately 496 km2 in January 2025; approximately 313 km2 in February 2025; Approximately 601 km2 (data also considers part of the territories of the Kursk region) in March 2025; And about 217 km2 in April 2025.

According to a sun -reported report by the general staff of the Ukraine armed forces, for the past four months, Russian losses cost 160,600 soldiers, that is, on average, it is 99 losses per square square.

ISW also revealed a slowdown in Russian offensive, as the past four months the Russian army has found better Ukrainian positions in large cities, such as Kupyansk, Watches, Toretsk and Pokrovsk, as well as around them. Now Russian troops have a huge losses per square square than in the fall of 2024.

The ISW noted that from January to April 2025, the successes of the Russian Federation were 45% slower than the period from September to December 2024, although the level of losses at this time was reduced by only 10%.

Meanwhile, Putin is trying to maintain the speed of offensive operations for pressure in Ukraine in stopping negotiations. According to the ISW, the Kremlin is trying to delay negotiations to obtain additional concessions from the USA and Ukraine and win the battlefield.

Western Intelligence suggests that Putin may begin to prioritize short -term goals, such as integration -with the conquest of Ukraine and Russia’s direct economic ability, and not gaining a larger territory.

However, the promise that the dictator has shown to maintain the speed of Russian offensive operations in Ukraine, despite the continuation of a high level of losses, has not confirmed this assessment, experts admitted.

Analysts will not exclude that Putin can reorient for more short-term goals due to the growth of economic and personnel restrictions, which further prevents Russia from continuing the war in Ukraine.

Russian troops can slow down the speed of offensive operations and work on implementing policies and tactics aimed at reducing losses if Putin provides a mandate to prioritize Russia’s authorities with the occupied territory of Ukraine rather than further conquest of new territories.

As you know, recently, Trump has prepared pressure options for Russia, which he previously tried to avoid.

We remind you, earlier reported that economic growth in Russia has slowed down.

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Source: korrespondent

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