Moscow is still trying to avoid actions that threaten the war on the alliance, but its appetite may increase the risk, Copenhagen believes.
Russia will be ready for a new invasion after the end of the war in Ukraine in six months, if the North Atlantic Alliance will not be the equivalent of the Russian Federation again. This is stated in an updated Russian threat analysis from the main intelligence director of the Denmark Ministry of Defense.
According to unexpected data, there is no threat of a military attack on NATO, and the risk will grow in the coming years.
At the beginning of an entire war, Russia began a major reorganization and arrangement of its army, and during 2024 it was engaged in the intensified rearmament to fight with the NATO forces.
Russia is still trying to avoid actions that may lead to activation of NATO’s fifth article, but the appetite can increase if the balance of transfer of power.
The real military threat of the Russian Federation also depends on the development of the war in Ukraine. When the war is stopped or frozen, the Kremlin can release significant military sources.
According to Denmark Intelligence, if NATO is no longer equipped at a sufficient speed, after the end of the war in Ukraine, the following situations are possible:
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After six months, the Russian Federation could conduct a local war in one of the neighboring countries;
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After about two years, he will give a real threat to one or more countries in NATO, that is, he is ready for a regional war against some states in the Baltic Sea region;
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Five years later, Moscow may be prepared for a large -scale war on the European continent without the participation of the United States.
Remember that NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said that alliance alliance countries should prepare for war and spend more than defense, otherwise Russia will “may try something the same way as in Ukraine . ”
Russian Federation uses military experience against NATO – ISW
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Source: korrespondent
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.