Analysts spoke about the future of the Russian army after the war

Russia needs to restore and rebuild its army, regardless of the results of the war in Ukraine. On Saturday, February 8, writing a business insider. It has assigned possible options for how the Russian army looks a few years after the war.

According to the new analytical study conducted by Washington Analytical Center Rand Corp., four likely options, and two of them are very difficult to implement.

The first option was Rand called “Shoigu’s plan” because it was based on the plans and promises announced by the Russian Federation Public Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu. This option is in its essence of the return of the Russian army to the state it has up to a full -scale aggression of Ukraine. We are talking about an attempt at some size to balance the firepower and the number of soldiers, covering the lack of certain technologies due to imports.

“The most amazing -awesome is that Shoigu’s plan suggests that the Russian army is almost fine, despite the evidence of the opposite in Ukraine,” the business insider wrote.

The second option that the Russian army could follow after the war was an attempt to fully enforce the reform proposed in 2008 by the aftermath of Russian Federation’s Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov. But the reform provided for the transition to the western model of the armed forces: a smaller, but better prepared and equipment in the army, aimed at a hybrid war, ready to actively attract private military contractors.

Such an army relies more on the approach of enemy’s intimidation and organization, but this plan is probably lacking in the ground forces to expand the hegemony of Russia, the analysts say.

The third option indicates a complete abandonment of Soviet and Russian warfare traditions and creation of something starting before. In particular, this may be the introduction of western approach, when the team’s initiative is sent from higher levels of control to lower.

This idea is based on “the realization that the Soviet and Russian operations of the operations of Soviet and Russians will no longer live, a fact that emphasizes the bad action of Russian armed forces in Ukraine,” Rand said. But analysts will consider the same choice more likely.

Strange, but the easiest option for Russia is to go back to the past. In this path, the Russian army will return to the Soviet standard of the massive army of conscripts armed from the large weapon reserves created by the Russian defense industry.

“The main argument in favor of this path is that Russian military in many aspects has to return to this model during the war in Ukraine, which relies on older systems, prevailing firepower and mass – and although that does not lead to Russia’s decisive success in Ukraine, it is enough to end a dead dead, ”said Rand Analysts.

Remember that on the eve of President Vladimir Zelensky said the Russians were adding army more than 100 thousand military.

In the first time in 20 years: Putin announced the winter winter of winter reservists