The stocks of air defense shells in the Ukrainian army are constantly being depleted and if there are no replenishments in the near future, they will last until March.
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The New York Times writes about this with reference to the assessment of American officials.
Without US help, the publication’s interlocutors, as well as Western analysts, warn that a cascading collapse at the front is possible as early as this year. They note that it will be at least another two months before the lack of aid is reflected broadly. However, without it, they say, it is difficult to imagine how Ukraine can maintain its position on the battlefield.
Officials and military analysts say that in this situation, Ukraine will find it difficult to carry out local counterattacks by March, and by early summer it may find it difficult to fend off Russian attacks.
It will also be difficult for Russia to quickly create enough capacity for a major offensive in eastern Ukraine, analysts say. Most likely, Russian troops will advance “clumsily and disjointedly,” with heavy losses, they suggest.
Under these circumstances, the new commander-in-chief, Alexander Syrsky, notes The New York Times, will have to face the same “grim calculations” and decide when the cost of defending territory outweighs the benefits gained from harming the enemy.
As the publication writes, he repeatedly had to solve this “bloody equation,” however, critics of the new headquarters point out that his decisions were not always correct – especially in the difficult battles for Bakhmut.
Ukrainian troops are in a difficult situation, remaining without military assistance from the United States, which cannot provide it due to disagreements in Congress. Last week, another proposal to provide Ukraine with a military aid package worth about $60 billion passed preliminary approval from senators and now faces a vote, first in the Senate and then in the House of Representatives.
Without this help, military analysts say, Ukraine will not be “suddenly defeated” in a war with Russia, but “the degradation of its forces will be inexorable.” At the same time, European countries, which also provide assistance to Ukraine, are unlikely to be able to make up for the lack of US supplies.
Source: Racurs
I am David Wyatt, a professional writer and journalist for Buna Times. I specialize in the world section of news coverage, where I bring to light stories and issues that affect us globally. As a graduate of Journalism, I have always had the passion to spread knowledge through writing.